The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barys Astana 16.5%
Draw 18.1%
Metallurg Magnitogorsk 65.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.9%
18.1%
66%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.1%
19.5%
61.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
41.7%
33.3%
Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Metallurg M will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Boyarkin N. (G)
20. Smolin A. (G)
71. Daniyar Sam.
21. Press R.
2. Massie J. (A)
85. Maklyukov A. (C)
88. Vecchione M.
14. Silantyev D.
11. Morelli M.
8. Kantserov R.
84. Savitsky K. (C)
19. Tkachev V. (A)
Line 2
44. Walsh R.
9. Orekhov V.
3. McCoshen I.
44. Yakovlev Y.
13. Kaiyrzhan D.
28. Tolchinsky S.
9. Thompson T.
26. Barach D.
10. Willman M.
29. Vovchenko D.
Line 3
19. Orazov B.
72. Minulin A.
87. Beketayev A. (A)
56. Khabarov M.
29. Lyapunov K.
31. Petunin A.
17. Omirbekov A.
22. Iskhakov R.
70. Simonov S.
11. Mikhailis N.
Line 4
93. Nikitin K.
74. Siryatsky A.
22. Panyukov K.
94. Korobkin Y.
12. Logvin V.
47. Johnson L. (A)
96. Asetov A.
96. Korotkov N.
Substitutes
41. Scheel A. (G)
39. Kozlov A.
50. Kramzin Y. (G)
Coaches
. Kravets M.
. Razin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
01:49, Iskhakov R. (2 min),
06:04, 0 - 1, Iskhakov R. (G), Minulin A. (A), Mikhailis N. (A2)
17:24, (2 min),
18:04, Morelli M. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:06, 0 - 2, Iskhakov R. (G), Mikhailis N. (A), Petunin A. (A2)
09:23, Tkachev V. (2 min),
09:23, Willman M. (2 min),
14:20, Barach D. (2 min),
15:17, 1 - 2, Thompson T. (G), Vecchione M. (A), Walsh R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
09:17, Vovchenko D. (2 min),
14:39, 2 - 2, Walsh R. (G), Vecchione M. (A), Morelli M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:47, 2 - 3, Barach D. (G), Smolin A. (A),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Metallurg M is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Metallurg M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Metallurg M is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barys won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 33:64. (average 1.7:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Barys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 2.1:3.4).
Outrights of KHL for now
Barys Astana: 0.58%
Last Results with these Odds
Barys Astana - the odds 5.94 are the expected chance of winning is 15.89%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.