The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barys Astana 17.4%
Draw 19.7%
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 62.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
17.1%
19.8%
63%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.7%
17%
68.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Yaroslavl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
15.4%
7.7%
Barys Astana - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barys: 54% โ 99.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - Barys (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barys Astana will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Barys (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Scheel A. (G)
38. Melnichuk A. (G)
71. Daniyar Sam.
99. Sergeyev A.
3. McCoshen I.
5. Bereglazov A.
70. Simonov S.
70. Surin Y.
17. Omirbekov A.
10. Ivanov G.
84. Savitsky K. (C)
47. Radulov A. (A)
Line 2
44. Walsh R.
73. Cherepanov N.
2. Massie J. (A)
28. Gernat M.
88. Vecchione M.
72. Beryozkin M.
11. Morelli M.
78. Shalunov M.
27. Galimov E.
16. Kayumov A.
Line 3
24. Breus D.
4. Yelesin A. (C)
87. Beketayev A. (A)
87. Rafikov R. (A)
13. Kaiyrzhan D.
14. Panik R.
77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
51. Froese B.
12. Logvin V.
7. Kiryanov N.
Line 4
26. Wotherspoon T.
93. Misyul D.
34. Kolesnikov V.
90. Polunin A.
32. Volkov V.
63. Kraskovsky P.
29. Lyapunov K.
97. Volkov A.
Substitutes
43. Shutov A. (G)
92. Isayev D. (G)
27. Kuzin A.
Coaches
. Kravets M.
. Hartley B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
03:19, 0 - 1, Sergeyev A. (G), Bereglazov A. (A), Surin Y. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:02, 0 - 2, Froese B. (G), Panik R. (A), Kiryanov N. (A2)
07:03, Beryozkin M. (2 min),
16:25, Shalunov M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
03:30, 0 - 3, Ivanov G. (G), Radulov A. (A), Surin Y. (A2)
04:06, 0 - 4, Surin Y. (G), Sergeyev A. (A), Radulov A. (A2)
04:06, Scheel A. ↓, Shutov A. ↑,
15:34, 1 - 4, Walsh R. (G), Galimov E. (A), Omirbekov A. (A2)
17:21, 1 - 5, Kiryanov N. (G), Sergeyev A. (A),
17:57, Vecchione M. (2 min),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 2.
Recent performances by Barys have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lokomotiv is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
In this match, Lokomotiv is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barys won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 39:70. (average 2:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Barys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1.9:3.1).