The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SKA Saint Petersburg 41.4%
Draw 23.8%
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod 34.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46%
22.2%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
22.8%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SKA Saint Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA Saint Petersburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
SKA Saint Petersburg - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
73. Pleshkov A. (G)
72. Kostin D. (G)
85. Maklyukov A. (A)
2. Zhuravlyov D.
22. Zaitsev N.
6. Konyushkov B.
71. Korotky M.
55. Tkachyov V. (C)
17. Atanasov V.
91. Vecchione M.
7. Glotov V. (A)
92. Vinogradov Y.
Line 2
34. Savikov Y.
8. Brickey S.
3. Pedan A.
36. Sizov A. (A)
88. Nugmanov A.
14. Polyakov M.
53. Aimurzin D.
27. Goncharuk S.
23. Grimaldi R.
41. Fyodorov V.
Line 3
42. Syomin V.
21. Kamalov N.
9. Sapego S.
77. Nardella B.
91. Lutfullin I.
63. Kraskovsky P. (A)
55. Dishkovsky N.
89. Geraskin I.
47. Nedopyokin N.
97. Seroukh D.
Line 4
5. Knyzhov N.
73. Dyblenko Y.
90. Zykov V.
43. Svishchyov K.
78. Suzdorf G.
68. Garayev A.
16. Plotnikov S. (C)
80. Shavin N.
Substitutes
1. Ivanov S. (G)
93. Belevich A.
30. Shugayev D. (G)
Coaches
. Razin A.
. Isakov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
01:01, Goncharuk S. (2 min),
06:40, Zykov V. (2 min),
13:42, Zaitsev N. (2 min),
14:51, 0 - 1, Vinogradov Y. (G), Polyakov M. (A), Tkachyov V. (A2)
15:56, Kraskovsky P. (2 min),
17:26, Dyblenko Y. (2 min),
17:46, 1 - 1, Korotky M. (G), Atanasov V. (A), Glotov V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:23, Pedan A. (2 min),
06:54, 1 - 2, Seroukh D. (G), Polyakov M. (A), Vinogradov Y. (A2)
14:18, Brickey S. (2 min),
17:39, 1 - 3, Fyodorov V. (G), Goncharuk S. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
05:23, Syomin V. (2 min),
07:52, (2 min),
12:20, Polyakov M. (2 min),
13:25, 2 - 3, Aimurzin D. (G), Savikov Y. (A),
15:02, Pedan A. (2 min),
19:15, 3 - 3, Korotky M. (G), Savikov Y. (A),
19:46, 3 - 4, Vinogradov Y. (G), Tkachyov V. (A), Sizov A. (A2)
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 6th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA won 1.
SKA is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Torpedo NN has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Torpedo NN could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SKA has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:57 (averaging 3.3:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SKA against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 35:30 goals (averaging 3.5:3 per game).
Outrights of KHL for now
SKA St. Petersburg: 3.46% Nizhny Novgorod: 2.35%
Last Results with these Odds
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 31.81%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
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Pleshkov A. (G) 
Vecchione M. 
Sapego S. 
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