Match Info

AHL

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: CAA Arena (Belleville, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Belleville Senators		Lehigh Valley Phantoms

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.4	Watch
	2.39	4.05	2.4
	2.37	4.1	2.47	Watch
	2.38	3.9	2.4
	2.34	4.2	2.39	Watch
	2.3	4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.36)	4.04 ↓ (4.07)	2.4 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belleville Senators
39.2%

Draw
22.7%

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

22.8%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

23%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belleville Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lehigh Valley Phantoms has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lehigh Valley Phantoms than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Belleville Senators - Lehigh Valley Phantoms Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lehigh Valley (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Sogaard M. (G)	35. Kolosov A. (G)
5. Bongiovanni W.	59. Bonk O.
13. Bourgault X.	21. Bump A.
4. Crotty C. (A)	23. Dorwart K.
10. Daoust P.	43. Eklind O.
11. Donovan J.	56. Gaucher J.
8. Duarte M.	3. Grans H.
48. Gilbert D.	82. Guenette M.
29. Hamara T.	12. Kaplan D.
14. Harrington S.	15. Kyrou C.
42. Hodgson H.	20. Marody C.
24. Jenik J. (A)	19. McDonald H.
43. Kaliyev A.	4. Murchison T.
15. Lycksell O.	25. Pederson L. (A)
32. Pettersson O.	90. Richard A.
22. Pilon G. (C)	22. Robertson T.
19. Rees J.	26. Tomasino P.
33. Thomson L.	17. Wilson G. (C)
27. Washkurak K.	74. Wisdom Z. (A)
Substitutes
31. Parsons J. (G)	64. Bjarnason C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
10:37, 0 - 1, Murchison T. (G), Kaplan D. (A), Eklind O. (A2)
14:05, 0 - 2, Grans H. (G), Wisdom Z. (A), Gaucher J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:49, 0 - 3, Gaucher J. (G), Marody C. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:04, 1 - 3, Kaliyev A. (G),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lehigh Valley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lehigh Valley has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 49:71. (average 2.5:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Belleville won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 2.8:3.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belleville Senators
AHL
31.12.25	Belleville Senators - Laval Rocket	3:4 ✺
28.12.25	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	7:0 ✺
26.12.25	Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies	8:4 ✺
20.12.25	Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWL
- Lehigh Valley Phantoms
AHL
31.12.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hershey Bears	3:0 ✺
29.12.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Charlotte Checkers	2:3 OT ✺
28.12.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	4:3 penalties ✺
20.12.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hartford Wolf Pack	2:1 penalties ✺
19.12.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Bridgeport Islanders	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
11.10.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Belleville Senators	5:2
28.03.25	Belleville Senators - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	3:2
15.01.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Belleville Senators	3:2
18.11.23	Belleville Senators - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	1:8
15.10.23	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Belleville Senators	5:2
11.03.23	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Belleville Senators	4:3 OT
04.11.22	Belleville Senators - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	3:2

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