Match Info

National League - Round 45

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Swiss Life Arena (Zürich)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	ZSC Lions		EV Zug

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.75	4.3	Watch
	1.57	4.75	4.6
	1.56	4.4	4.3
	1.57	4.72	4.62	Watch
	1.5	4.5	4.33
	1.61	4.71	4.71	Watch
	1.52	4.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.79)	4.62 ↑ (4.26)	4.48 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ZSC Lions
59.2%

Draw
20.1%

EV Zug
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

21.9%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

22.6%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ZSC Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ZSC Lions's performance.

EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EV Zug might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZSC Lions than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ZSC Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EV Zug could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

ZSC Lions - EV Zug Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ZSC Lions (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: ZSC Lions will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Zumbuhl R. (G)	1. Wolf T. (G)
46. Kukan D.	66. Sklenicka D.
4. Geering P. (C)	37. Riva E.
10. Andrighetto S.	90. Tatar T.
62. Malgin D.	40. Wingerli A.
38. Balcers R.	81. Kubalik D.
Line 2
6. Weber Y.	42. Geisser T.
33. Schwendeler J.	14. Stadler L.
28. Froden J.	96. Vozenilek D.
27. Grant D.	43. Kovar J. (C)
79. Bader T.	22. Eggenberger N.
Line 3
86. Trutmann D.	18. Schlumpf D.
44. Lehtonen M.	6. Geisser M.
9. Rohrer V.	77. Wey L.
12. Sundstrom J.	88. Senteler S.
8. Riedi W.	95. Lindemann C. S.
Line 4
29. Ustinkov D.	7. Moret D.
64. Aberg P.	86. Antenen R. N.
13. Sigrist J.	61. Leuenberger S.
18. Baechler N.	68. Herzog F.
Substitutes
14. Baltisberger Ch.	30. Genoni L. (G)
56. Gruter L. (G)
Coaches
. Bayer M.	. Groulx B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
14:54, 0 - 1, Kovar J. (G), Eggenberger N. (A),
16:42, Weber Y. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
01:45, 0 - 2, Senteler S. (G), Moret D. (A), Sklenicka D. (A2)
02:33, Geisser T. (2 min),
07:35, 0 - 3, Kovar J. (G), Geisser T. (A),
08:08, 1 - 3, Andrighetto S. (G), Lehtonen M. (A),
13:38, Balcers R. (2 min),
18:45, 2 - 3, Andrighetto S. (G), Froden J. (A), Malgin D. (A2)
19:40, 2 - 4, Kovar J. (G), Tatar T. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ZSC Lions won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, ZSC Lions is seen as the favorite.

We predict that ZSC Lions will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ZSC Lions won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 63:47. (average 3.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, ZSC Lions won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 3.1:2.6).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Zurich: 23.46% Zug: 7.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Zurich	9	7	2	0	0	37:20	25
12	Zug	6	3	0	1	2	22:14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ZSC Lions
Swiss National League Hockey
30.01.26	Biel - ZSC Lions	1:5 ✺
27.01.26	EHC Kloten - ZSC Lions	2:4 ✺
24.01.26	ZSC Lions - Fribourg-Gottéron	3:4 penalties ✺
23.01.26	Ambrì-Piotta - ZSC Lions	2:4 ✺
17.01.26	ZSC Lions - Bern	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWL
- EV Zug
Swiss National League Hockey
30.01.26	EV Zug - Lausanne HC	1:4 ✺
27.01.26	Davos - EV Zug	4:1 ✺
24.01.26	EV Zug - SCL Tigers	3:1 ✺
23.01.26	EHC Kloten - EV Zug	1:2 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
20.01.26	Luleå - EV Zug	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
10.01.26	EV Zug - ZSC Lions	2:3 OT
17.10.25	ZSC Lions - EV Zug	2:3 penalties
27.09.25	EV Zug - ZSC Lions	2:1 OT
22.02.25	EV Zug - ZSC Lions	5:4
11.01.25	ZSC Lions - EV Zug	1:2
28.11.24	EV Zug - ZSC Lions	0:4
19.10.24	ZSC Lions - EV Zug	5:4

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