The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brampton Steelheads 31.2%
Draw 21.3%
Erie Otters 47.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.3%
21.2%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
22.8%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brampton Steelheads has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brampton Steelheads's form might have worsened.
Erie Otters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erie Otters's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brampton Steelheads than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brampton Steelheads, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erie Otters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Ahmajarvi O. (G)
30. Karbowski L. (G)
42. Amado M.
92. Agrette M.
29. Amidovski N.
73. Ambrosio L.
9. Carcone G.
21. Arkko L.
44. Cartwright O.
14. Cooper T.
17. Demiglio L.
25. Dec M. (A)
4. Green P.
13. Edwards K.
24. Harding J.
22. Gladman A.
58. Hicks C. (A)
81. Headrick E.
18. Kuryachenkov S.
2. Henry T.
15. Larmand L.
34. Kamzik K.
11. Nanubhai A.
27. Kennedy C.
88. Nimchonok J.
89. Lombardi U.
14. Nyman Z.
4. McArthur B.
73. Richmond M. (A)
80. Murray J.
64. Roy M.
6. Saari J. (A)
97. Stankoven M.
96. Schuster P.
13. Witkowski K. (A)
11. Torr J.
89. Yates J.
10. Trevino T. (C)
Substitutes
33. Johnson N. (G)
88. Egorov D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
07:36, 0 - 1, Agrette M. (G), Dec M. (A), Ambrosio L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
01:32, 0 - 2, Agrette M. (G), Lombardi U. (A), Trevino T. (A2)
03:26, 1 - 2, Richmond M. (G), Kuryachenkov S. (A), Nanubhai A. (A2)
10:33, 2 - 2, Amidovski N. (G), Hicks C. (A), Harding J. (A2)
11:26, 2 - 3, Dec M. (G), Agrette M. (A), Henry T. (A2)
14:33, 2 - 4, Dec M. (G), Headrick E. (A), Agrette M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:11, 2 - 5, Arkko L. (G), Schuster P. (A), McArthur B. (A2)
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 9th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brampton won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Erie may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
Erie is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Brampton has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:21 (averaging 5.8:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Brampton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:10 goals (averaging 7:3.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Brampton Steelheads - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.29%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Erie Otters - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.49%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.