Match Info

OHL

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Erie Insurance Arena (Erie, PA)


	Erie Otters		Niagara IceDogs

	1	X	2
	2.58	4.33	2.21
	2.51	4.32	2.19	Watch
	2.38	4.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.11)	4.28 ↓ (4.52)	2.22 ↓ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erie Otters
37%

Draw
21.5%

Niagara IceDogs
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

20.4%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

20.4%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erie Otters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erie Otters's form might have worsened.

Niagara IceDogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niagara IceDogs's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erie Otters, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niagara IceDogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Erie Otters - Niagara IceDogs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erie (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Tegelaar N. (G)	77. Robertson C. (G)
92. Agrette M.	72. Barnes B.
73. Ambrosio L.	33. Chromiak J. (A)
17. Cabral L.	12. Czata E. (C)
27. Coombs R.	27. Dell'Elce S.
14. Cooper T.	44. Doherty S.
7. D'Alessio M.	17. Edgar R.
13. Edwards K.	92. Galiyanov I.
88. Gowan B.	9. Hage A.
81. Headrick E.	64. Hull C.
9. Hughes C.	6. Knauft J.
34. Kamzik K.	19. Monks J.
96. Kuzma A.	21. Patterson R. (A)
89. Lombardi U.	93. Read N.
80. Murray J.	16. Reid H.
61. Plante L.	3. Reisnecker B.
6. Saari J. (A)	61. Simon Wang
26. Schouten J.	43. Smith R.
72. Smith C.	49. Spencer L.
10. Trevino T. (C)	8. Tiller G. (A)
Substitutes
35. Burns C. (G)	28. Haffner C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
04:55, 0 - 1, Reid H. (G), Barnes B. (A), Hull C. (A2)
05:39, 1 - 1, Headrick E. (G), Murray J. (A),
15:21, 1 - 2, Chromiak J. (G), Barnes B. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
11:59, 1 - 3, Patterson R. (G), Chromiak J. (A), Reid H. (A2)
14:01, 1 - 4, Reid H. (G), Hull C. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
02:09, 1 - 5, Smith R. (G), Galiyanov I. (A),
11:52, 1 - 6, Patterson R. (G), Czata E. (A), Chromiak J. (A2)
12:49, 1 - 7, Edgar R. (G),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

Niagara is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erie won 2.

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

Niagara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Erie has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Erie won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 75:69. (average 3.8:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Erie won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:35. (average 3.3:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Erie Otters - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.65%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Niagara IceDogs - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.98%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erie Otters
OHL
13.03.26	Erie Otters - Kingston Frontenacs	3:4 OT ✺
08.03.26	Erie Otters - Saginaw Spirit	5:7 ✺
07.03.26	Erie Otters - London Knights	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	London Knights - Erie Otters	10:2 ✺
01.03.26	Erie Otters - Owen Sound Attack	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Niagara IceDogs
OHL
12.03.26	Niagara IceDogs - Kingston Frontenacs	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Brantford Bulldogs - Niagara IceDogs	6:4 ✺
06.03.26	Niagara IceDogs - Peterborough Petes	1:4 ✺
05.03.26	Niagara IceDogs - Saginaw Spirit	4:5 penalties ✺
01.03.26	North Bay Battalion - Niagara IceDogs	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
26.02.26	Niagara IceDogs - Erie Otters	5:4 penalties
08.11.25	Erie Otters - Niagara IceDogs	5:2
18.10.25	Niagara IceDogs - Erie Otters	4:3
17.10.25	Erie Otters - Niagara IceDogs	3:1
15.03.25	Erie Otters - Niagara IceDogs	2:5
27.02.25	Niagara IceDogs - Erie Otters	4:5
12.02.25	Erie Otters - Niagara IceDogs	2:1 penalties

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