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Current Win Probability
Erie Otters 48.5%
Draw 21%
Niagara IceDogs 30.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.8%
20.7%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
21.7%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erie Otters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Niagara IceDogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niagara IceDogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Egorov D. (G)
35. Haffner C. (G)
92. Agrette M.
34. Banas J.
73. Ambrosio L.
72. Barnes B. (A)
21. Arkko L.
7. Cheynowski C.
14. Cooper T.
25. Dell'Elce S.
25. Dec M. (A)
17. Edgar R. (A)
13. Edwards K.
92. Galiyanov I.
81. Headrick E.
73. Gallacher L.
2. Henry T.
9. Hage A.
34. Kamzik K.
64. Hull C.
27. Kennedy C.
44. Kramer T.
89. Lombardi U.
61. Langdon J.
4. McArthur B.
22. Lappan M.
29. Michalski G.
12. McFadden W.
80. Murray J.
16. Merrill F.
6. Saari J. (A)
86. Mullins W.
96. Schuster P.
5. Munnings B.
11. Torr J.
93. Read N.
10. Trevino T. (C)
43. Smith R. (A)
Substitutes
30. Karbowski L. (G)
32. Yermolenko V. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
08:33, 0 - 1, Merrill F. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:10, 1 - 1, Dec M. (G), Agrette M. (A), Saari J. (A2)
17:44, 2 - 1, Dec M. (G), Agrette M. (A), Ambrosio L. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
01:59, 3 - 1, Arkko L. (G), McArthur B. (A), Agrette M. (A2)
03:23, 4 - 1, Cooper T. (G), Kennedy C. (A), Kamzik K. (A2)
05:15, 4 - 2, Edgar R. (G), Gallacher L. (A), McFadden W. (A2)
11:20, 5 - 2, Dec M. (G), Headrick E. (A), McArthur B. (A2)
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 8th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 5th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erie won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Erie (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Niagara have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Erie has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Erie is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Erie has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 74:74 (averaging 3.7:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Erie against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 28:35 goals (averaging 2.8:3.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Erie Otters - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.81%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Egorov D. (G) 
Banas J. 
Arkko L. 
Kramer T. 
Schuster P. 
Yermolenko V. (G) 
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