Match Info

AHL

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Bojangles Coliseum (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Charlotte Checkers		Hershey Bears

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.2	3.1	Watch
	2.04	3.95	3
	1.94	4.3	3.11
	1.91	4.37	3.16	Watch
	1.91	4	3
	1.88	4.15	3.17	Watch
	2.12	3.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.11)	4.12 ↑ (3.8)	3.05 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Checkers
47.4%

Draw
22.4%

Hershey Bears
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

24%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

25.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Checkers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlotte Checkers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Charlotte Checkers - Hershey Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Domingue L. (G)	35. Gibson M. (G)
5. Carrick T. (C)	7. Belpedio L. (A)
22. Cesana D.	43. Bitten S.
36. Chorske B.	5. Chesley R.
4. Devine J.	20. Cristall A.
18. Entwistle M. (A)	19. Cruikshank G.
14. Hovorka M.	48. Gucciardi D.
12. Huard C.	49. Kupka K.
21. Livingstone J.	23. Leason B.
7. Mastrosimone R.	47. McDonald J.
26. Pinho B.	34. Muggli L.
11. Powell E.	22. Rodzinski R.
24. Sawchyn G.	12. Rybinski H.
13. Schwindt K.	6. Schueneman C. (A)
15. Smith N.	37. Smith D.
6. Steeves B.	45. Strome M. (A)
19. St. Martin H.	41. Suzdalev A.
23. Studnicka J.	44. Trineyev B.
29. Vilmanis S.	4. Webb R.
Substitutes
31. Black C. (G)	1. Bjorklund G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
00:28, 1 - 0, Studnicka J. (G), Steeves B. (A), Hovorka M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:54, 2 - 0, Vilmanis S. (G), Sawchyn G. (A), Carrick T. (A2)
12:01, 2 - 1, Suzdalev A. (G), Leason B. (A), Kupka K. (A2)
15:26, 3 - 1, Vilmanis S. (G),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
08:28, 4 - 1, Livingstone J. (G), Pinho B. (A), Devine J. (A2)
17:12, 5 - 1, Vilmanis S. (G), Devine J. (A), Studnicka J. (A2)
18:58, 6 - 1, Vilmanis S. (G),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

Charlotte is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3.

Charlotte has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hershey has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hershey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Charlotte will win today's game, with odds of 2.1.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 54:49. (average 2.7:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 2.4:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Charlotte Checkers - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.16%, but this team recently wins 37% of matches with these odds.

Hershey Bears - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 32.88%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Checkers
AHL
11.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hershey Bears	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Toronto Marlies - Charlotte Checkers	1:5 ✺
03.04.26	Toronto Marlies - Charlotte Checkers	2:3 ✺
01.04.26	Rochester Americans - Charlotte Checkers	3:5 ✺
29.03.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Charlotte Checkers	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWW
- Hershey Bears
AHL
11.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hershey Bears	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Hershey Bears	1:8 ✺
03.04.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Hershey Bears	4:2 ✺
01.04.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears	4:1 ✺
28.03.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hershey Bears	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
11.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hershey Bears	1:2
03.03.26	Hershey Bears - Charlotte Checkers	1:4
02.03.26	Hershey Bears - Charlotte Checkers	3:2 OT
18.01.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hershey Bears	4:3 penalties
17.01.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hershey Bears	3:4 OT
28.12.25	Hershey Bears - Charlotte Checkers	2:3
13.12.25	Hershey Bears - Charlotte Checkers	4:0

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