The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hershey Bears 36%
Draw 22.9%
Rochester Americans 41.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
24.2%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
26.7%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Rochester Americans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rochester Americans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Stevenson C. (G)
27. Levi D. (G)
7. Belpedio L. (A)
15. Bayreuther G.
43. Bitten S.
58. Belliveau I.
22. Bongiovanni W.
73. Costantini M.
20. Cristall A.
12. Fiddler-Schultz R.
19. Cruikshank G.
29. Fulp A.
48. Gucciardi D.
4. Geertsen M.
49. Kupka K.
91. Helenius K.
23. Leason B.
39. Jones Z.
10. Miroshnichenko I.
8. Joshua J.
34. Muggli L.
16. Kuntar T.
27. Ness A. (C)
36. Laaouan N.
40. Protas I.
7. Leschyshyn J.
12. Rybinski H.
72. Meyer C. (A)
6. Schueneman C.
20. Nadeau O.
45. Strome M. (A)
5. Rathbone J. (A)
41. Suzdalev A.
17. Savage R.
44. Trineyev B.
24. Wahlberg A.
4. Webb R.
45. Warren B. (A)
Substitutes
35. Gibson M. (G)
50. Leinonen T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:36, 0 - 1, Kuntar T. (G), Jones Z. (A), Wahlberg A. (A2)
09:35, 1 - 1, Trineyev B. (G), Leason B. (A), Suzdalev A. (A2)
13:37, 2 - 1, Protas I. (G), Trineyev B. (A), Cristall A. (A2)
14:06, 2 - 2, Helenius K. (G), Kuntar T. (A), Laaouan N. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
03:16, 2 - 3, Leschyshyn J. (G), Rathbone J. (A), Nadeau O. (A2)
05:49, 3 - 3, Bongiovanni W. (G), Suzdalev A. (A),
10:31, 4 - 3, Cristall A. (G), Protas I. (A), Trineyev B. (A2)
12:45, 4 - 4, Meyer C. (G), Jones Z. (A), Fiddler-Schultz R. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:26, 5 - 4, Miroshnichenko I. (G), Rybinski H. (A), Muggli L. (A2)
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Rochester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Hershey will win today's game, with odds of 2.54.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 50:55. (average 2.5:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Hershey won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 2.3:2.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Hershey Bears - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Rochester Americans - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.47%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
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Stevenson C. (G) 
Belpedio L. (A) 
Helenius K. 
Miroshnichenko I. 
Muggli L. 
Protas I. 
Suzdalev A. 
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