Match Info
AHLDate: 19 April 2026, SundayLocation: Giant Center (Hershey, PA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | Flohockey |
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Hershey Bears |
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Rochester Americans |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hershey Bears
36% | Draw
22.9% | Rochester Americans
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Rochester Americans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rochester Americans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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31.  Stevenson C. (G)
| 27. Levi D. (G)
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7.  Belpedio L. (A)
| 15. Bayreuther G.
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43. Bitten S.
| 58. Belliveau I.
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22. Bongiovanni W.
| 73. Costantini M.
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20. Cristall A.
| 12. Fiddler-Schultz R.
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19. Cruikshank G.
| 29. Fulp A.
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48. Gucciardi D.
| 4. Geertsen M.
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49. Kupka K.
| 91.  Helenius K.
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23. Leason B.
| 39. Jones Z.
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10.  Miroshnichenko I.
| 8. Joshua J.
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34.  Muggli L.
| 16. Kuntar T.
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27. Ness A. (C)
| 36. Laaouan N.
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40.  Protas I.
| 7. Leschyshyn J.
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12. Rybinski H.
| 72. Meyer C. (A)
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6. Schueneman C.
| 20. Nadeau O.
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45. Strome M. (A)
| 5. Rathbone J. (A)
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41.  Suzdalev A.
| 17. Savage R.
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44. Trineyev B.
| 24. Wahlberg A.
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4. Webb R.
| 45. Warren B. (A)
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| Substitutes |
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35. Gibson M. (G)
| 50. Leinonen T. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 01:36, 0 - 1, Kuntar T. (G), Jones Z. (A), Wahlberg A. (A2)
- 09:35, 1 - 1, Trineyev B. (G), Leason B. (A), Suzdalev A. (A2)
- 13:37, 2 - 1, Protas I. (G), Trineyev B. (A), Cristall A. (A2)
- 14:06, 2 - 2, Helenius K. (G), Kuntar T. (A), Laaouan N. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 2)
- 03:16, 2 - 3, Leschyshyn J. (G), Rathbone J. (A), Nadeau O. (A2)
- 05:49, 3 - 3, Bongiovanni W. (G), Suzdalev A. (A),
- 10:31, 4 - 3, Cristall A. (G), Protas I. (A), Trineyev B. (A2)
- 12:45, 4 - 4, Meyer C. (G), Jones Z. (A), Fiddler-Schultz R. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 02:26, 5 - 4, Miroshnichenko I. (G), Rybinski H. (A), Muggli L. (A2)
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Rochester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.We predict that Hershey will win today's game, with odds of 2.54.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 50:55. (average 2.5:2.8).Including home matches between the teams, Hershey won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 2.3:2.5).
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Last Results with these Odds
Hershey Bears - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Rochester Americans - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.47%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AHL | | | 30.01.26 | Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears | 3:1 | | 28.01.26 | Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears | 1:3 | | 09.11.25 | Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans | 2:1 | | 19.01.25 | Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans | 5:4 | | 22.11.24 | Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears | 4:3 OT | | 24.02.24 | Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans | 2:1 OT | | 29.12.23 | Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears | 2:4 |
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