Match Info

VHL

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Yubileiny (Voronezh)


	Buran Voronezh		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	3.24	4.15	1.93	Watch
	3.1	4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.77)	4.08 ↑ (3.5)	1.99 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Buran Voronezh
29.7%

Draw
23.1%

Gornyak-UGMK
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.6%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

26.1%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buran Voronezh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gornyak-UGMK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buran Voronezh than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gornyak-UGMK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Buran Voronezh - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
20. Okoryak V. (G)	30. Novosyolov N. (G)
2. Shakurov Y. (A)	4. Bolshakov M.
6. Starkov Y.	72. Trofimov Y.
19. Alexeyev A. (A)	7. Gordin A.
21. Vikharev D.	13. Zaytsev O. (C)
86. Mitrofanov A. (C)	56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
Line 2
10. Solopanov N.	23. Gamzakov M.
16. Kovalyov A.	92. Valitov D. (A)
12. Dorokhov S.	96. Miller N.
24. Pavlyukov I.	14. Makhrin M.
66. Fattakhov V.	44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 3
4. Kozhevnikov I.	16. Myslyayev S.
36. Alishlalov M.	3. Zubarev A.
97. Detkov I.	63. Isayev D.
31. Bryzgalov Y.	10. Filyayev V.
87. Savchenko P.	80. Demidovich V.
Line 4
28. Krivankov I.	95. Dumchenko N.
89. Yakovlev D.	22. Molodtsov D.
15. Vildanov A.	59. Razdyakonov V.
22. Shipilov A.	29. Khremkin K.
	32. Borisov S.
Substitutes
23. Mikhailov A.	20. Obvintsev T. (G)
1. Sharov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
02:14, 1 - 0, Savchenko P. (G),
03:40, 2 - 0, Starkov Y. (G), Vikharev D. (A), Alexeyev A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buran won 0.

Buran is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gornyak-UGMK has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Buran may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Buran won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 32:51. (average 2:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Buran won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1.8:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Buran Voronezh - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.61%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.79%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buran Voronezh
VHL
31.10.25	Buran Voronezh - Chelmet	1:2 OT ✺
29.10.25	Buran Voronezh - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:2 ✺
27.10.25	Buran Voronezh - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Buran Voronezh	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Khimik - Buran Voronezh	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLL
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
31.10.25	Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 ✺
29.10.25	Tambov - Gornyak-UGMK	1:5 ✺
24.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Dynamo-Altay	2:3 penalties ✺
22.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5 ✺
20.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
18.01.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Buran Voronezh	3:2 penalties
31.10.24	Buran Voronezh - Gornyak-UGMK	0:3
04.12.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Buran Voronezh	7:3
08.11.23	Buran Voronezh - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 penalties
25.12.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Buran Voronezh	4:3
24.10.22	Buran Voronezh - Gornyak-UGMK	3:0
23.01.22	Buran Voronezh - Gornyak-UGMK	1:3

Upcoming Matches