Match Info

VHL

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.21	1.81	Watch
	3.6	4.25	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.1)	4.23 ↑ (4.1)	1.82 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
26.1%

Draw
22.2%

Gornyak-UGMK
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

22.9%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

21.7%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Rostov - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kapustin K. (G)	30. Novosyolov N. (G)
19. Vasilyev I. M.	4. Bolshakov M.
11. Tsalpanov Y.	72. Trofimov Y.
27. Kalmykov D. (C)	7. Gordin A.
21. Sergiyevsky Y.	13. Zaytsev O. (C)
95. Korbit Y.	56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
Line 2
94. Voronin N. (A)	23. Gamzakov M.
5. Makarov S.	92. Valitov D. (A)
26. Urulin S. (A)	29. Khremkin K.
25. Sedantsov O.	14. Makhrin M.
17. Smolyov I.	44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 3
55. Machugin D.	16. Myslyayev S.
6. Gapochkin R.	3. Zubarev A.
98. Levinsky A.	96. Miller N.
7. Galushkin A.	10. Filyayev V.
8. Sokolov D.	80. Demidovich V.
Line 4
37. Opotsky R.	95. Dumchenko N.
9. Myagkov V.	22. Molodtsov D.
23. Kamensky Y.	63. Isayev D.
88. Voloskov G.	18. Sushchev V.
	87. Loza I.
Substitutes
70. Petkilev Y. (G)	20. Obvintsev T. (G)
20. Puzyakov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
04:05, 0 - 1, Zaytsev O. (G), Gordin A. (A), Ovchinnikov I. (A2)
10:39, 0 - 2, Demidovich V. (G), Zaytsev O. (A),
18:11, 1 - 2, Korbit Y. (G), Makarov S. (A), Kalmykov D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
12:03, 1 - 3, Zaytsev O. (G),
14:44, 1 - 4, Gordin A. (G), Ovchinnikov I. (A),
19:16, 2 - 4, Sedantsov O. (G), Makarov S. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:32, 3 - 4, Sokolov D. (G), Sergiyevsky Y. (A), Kalmykov D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rostov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has had a series of home games.

Gornyak-UGMK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Rostov will win today's game, with odds of 3.52.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:41. (average 2.2:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.8:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.25%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.88%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
29.10.25	Rostov - Chelmet	3:1 ✺
27.10.25	Rostov - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 OT ✺
25.10.25	Rostov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:4 penalties ✺
20.10.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Rostov	5:3 ✺
18.10.25	Khimik - Rostov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWLL
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
29.10.25	Tambov - Gornyak-UGMK	1:5 ✺
24.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Dynamo-Altay	2:3 penalties ✺
22.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5 ✺
20.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:4 ✺
18.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
20.01.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov	3:2 penalties
02.11.24	Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK	1:3
06.12.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov	1:5
10.11.23	Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK	3:7
23.12.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov	3:1
26.10.22	Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3
21.01.22	Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK	2:1

Rostov - Gornyak-UGMK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide