The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Calgary Flames 38.2%
Draw 22.2%
Detroit Red Wings 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
22.8%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
22.4%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Detroit Red Wings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30.8%
30.8%
38.5%
Calgary Flames - Detroit Red Wings Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Calgary will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Detroit will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 12% – 65%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Detroit Red Wings will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Cooley D. (G)
36. Gibson J. (G)
4. Andersson R.
53. Seider M. (A)
7. Bahl K.
77. Edvinsson S.
27. Coronato M.
23. Raymond L. (A)
16. Frost M.
71. Larkin D. (C)
10. Huberdeau J.
58. Finnie E.
Line 2
52. Weegar M. (A)
44. Sandin-Pellikka A.
37. Kuznetsov Y.
8. Chiarot B.
86. Farabee J.
88. Kane P.
91. Kadri N. (A)
18. Copp A.
17. Sharangovich Y.
93. DeBrincat A.
Line 3
48. Brzustewicz H.
25. Bernard-Docker J.
44. Hanley J.
20. Johansson A.
20. Coleman B.
92. Kasper M.
11. Backlund M. (C)
29. Danielson N.
47. Zary C.
85. Soderblom E.
Line 4
43. Klapka A.
27. Rasmussen M.
18. Beecher J.
37. Compher J.T.
70. Lomberg R.
21. Van Riemsdyk J.
Substitutes
32. Wolf D. (G)
39. Talbot C. (G)
Coaches
. Huska R.
. McLellan T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
01:02, 0 - 1, DeBrincat A. (G), Kane P. (A), Copp A. (A2)
04:33, 0 - 2, Sandin-Pellikka A. (G), DeBrincat A. (A), Kane P. (A2)
18:11, Lomberg R. (2 min),
18:11, Klapka A. (2 min),
18:11, Hamonic T. (2 min),
18:11, Gibson J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:24, Kasper M. (2 min),
03:51, Coleman B. (2 min),
04:27, Larkin D. (2 min),
07:41, 0 - 3, DeBrincat A. (G), Copp A. (A),
09:09, 0 - 4, Larkin D. (G), Raymond L. (A),
09:35, Copp A. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
06:33, Klapka A. (2 min),
08:02, 1 - 4, Farabee J. (Penalty Shot),
09:07, 2 - 4, Coronato M. (G), Kadri N. (A),
14:40, 3 - 4, Weegar M. (G), Andersson R. (A), Kadri N. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Detroit has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Calgary: Bean J.
(Injury)
Honzek S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Parekh Z.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Pospisil M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Detroit: Appleton M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 59:59. (average 3:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 3.1:2.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Calgary Flames - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.6%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Detroit Red Wings - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.6%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.