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Current Win Probability
Calgary Flames 28.8%
Draw 22%
Tampa Bay Lightning 49.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
21.7%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
21.5%
51.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calgary Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
22.2%
77.8%
Calgary Flames - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 50.6% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Cooley D. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
28. Whitecloud Z.
43. Raddysh D.
7. Bahl K.
90. Moser J.J.
86. Farabee J. (A)
86. Kucherov N.
11. Backlund M. (C)
71. Cirelli A.
20. Coleman B. (A)
38. Hagel B. (A)
Line 2
48. Brzustewicz H.
81. Cernak E.
3. Maatta O.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
27. Coronato M.
93. Goncalves G.
16. Frost M.
21. Point B.
92. Gridin M.
59. Guentzel J.
Line 3
19. Parekh Z.
78. Lilleberg E.
44. Hanley J.
51. D'Astous C.
95. Olofsson V.
29. Holmberg P.
22. Strome R.
37. Gourde Y.
17. Sharangovich Y.
28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
43. Klapka A.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
39. Gross T.
20. Paul N.
76. Pospisil M.
10. Perry C.
Substitutes
32. Wolf D. (G)
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
Coaches
. Huska R.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
07:25, 0 - 1, McDonagh R. (G), Goncalves G. (A),
12:01, Gross T. (2 min),
16:25, 1 - 1, Olofsson V. (G), Sharangovich Y. (A), Whitecloud Z. (A2)
16:52, 2 - 1, Frost M. (G), Coronato M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
08:28, 3 - 1, Backlund M. (G), Coleman B. (A), Brzustewicz H. (A2)
11:47, 3 - 2, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
15:40, 3 - 3, Holmberg P. (G), Gourde Y. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:26, 4 - 3, Strome R. (G), Gridin M. (A), Bahl K. (A2)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 2.
Recent performances by Calgary have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tampa Bay is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Tampa Bay might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Calgary: Bean J.
(Injury)
Honzek S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Huberdeau J.
(Hip Injury)
Kuznetsov Y.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Carlile D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
James D.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Calgary: Zary C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Illness)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 58:75. (average 2.9:3.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:35. (average 3.6:3.9).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% Calgary Flames: 0.2%
Last Results with these Odds
Calgary Flames - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 27.19%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Cooley D. (G) 
Johansson J. (G) 
Whitecloud Z. 
Moser J.J. 
Kucherov N. 
Cernak E. 
Maatta O. 
Lilleberg E. 
Sharangovich Y. 
Girgensons Z. 
Klapka A. 
Bjorkstrand O. 
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