The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vegas Golden Knights 48.6%
Draw 22.5%
New Jersey Devils 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
22.2%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
21.6%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
New Jersey Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.5%
11.8%
11.8%
Vegas Golden Knights - New Jersey Devils Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 12 - 75%). New Jersey will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 53.8% – 96.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vegas Golden Knights will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
79. Hart C. (G)
34. Allen J. (G)
2. Whitecloud Z.
7. Hamilton D.
15. Hanifin N.
71. Siegenthaler J.
61. Stone M. (C)
91. Mercer D.
21. Howden B.
13. Hischier N. (C)
93. Marner M.
63. Bratt J. (A)
Line 2
6. Korczak K.
43. Hughes L.
3. McNabb B. (A)
22. Pesce B.
16. Dorofeyev P.
16. Brown C.
48. Hertl T.
12. Glass C.
49. Barbashev I.
18. Palat O. (A)
Line 3
52. Coghlan D.
45. White C.
17. Hutton B.
5. Dillon B.
42. Bowman B.
11. Legare N.
19. Smith R. (A)
83. Lammikko J.
20. Saad B.
47. Cotter P.
Line 4
55. Kolesar K.
36. Crookshank A.
10. Sissons C.
14. Glendening L.
23. Reinhardt C.
67. Parent X.
Substitutes
40. Schmid A. (G)
25. Markstrom J. (G)
Coaches
. Cassidy B.
. Keefe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
00:39, Siegenthaler J. (2 min),
12:21, Lauzon J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:50, 0 - 1, Brown C. (G),
15:17, Marner M. (2 min),
17:16, Cotter P. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
15:02, Lammikko J. (2 min),
15:49, 1 - 1, Dorofeyev P. (G), Stone M. (A), Hertl T. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
03:07, Mercer D. (2 min),
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Cotter P. (Penalty Shot),
1, Dorofeyev P. (Penalty Shot),
2, Bratt J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Stone M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Hamilton D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Marner M. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 4.
Vegas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
New Jersey's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
New Jersey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Vegas has had a series of away games.
Vegas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Vegas: Hill A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Karlsson W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Lauzon J.
(Injury)
Pietrangelo A.
(Hip Injury)
There will not play in New Jersey: Dadonov Y.
(Injury)
Gritsyuk A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Hughes J.
(Finger Injury)
Kovacevic J.
(Knee Injury)
MacEwen Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Meier T.
(Personal Reasons)
Nemec S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Vegas: Dorofeyev P.
(Injury)
There are questionable in New Jersey: Pesce B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
We predict that Vegas will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 49:40. (average 3.3:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Vegas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 2.9:2.4).