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Current Win Probability
Vegas Golden Knights 39%
Draw 22.9%
New Jersey Devils 38.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.5%
22.1%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
22.7%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vegas Golden Knights's form might have worsened.
New Jersey Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vegas Golden Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New Jersey Devils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
Vegas Golden Knights - New Jersey Devils Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). New Jersey will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 46.4% โ 99%.
17:57, 2 - 1, Barbashev I. (G), Marner M. (A), McNabb B. (A2)
18:51, 2 - 2, Gritsyuk A. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:37, Marner M. (2 min),
03:49, 2 - 3, Hughes J. (G), Bratt J. (A),
18:16, 2 - 4, Gritsyuk A. (G), Siegenthaler J. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:09, 2 - 5, Hughes J. (G),
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - NHL Playoffs and 6th in the Promotion - NHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 4.
Vegas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
New Jersey shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
New Jersey may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Vegas: Olofsson V.
(Injury)
Pietrangelo A.
(Hip Injury)
Wotherspoon P.
(Upper-Body Injury).
Confirmed absences for New Jersey: Casey S.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Vegas: Hart C.
(Injury).
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Vegas has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:42 (averaging 3.1:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vegas against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 21:19 goals (averaging 2.6:2.4 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Vegas Golden Knights: 7.86% New Jersey Devils: 5.29%
Last Results with these Odds
New Jersey Devils - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 33.31%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
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Hill A. (G) 
Hellebuyck C. (G) 
Hischier N. (C) 
Barbashev I. 
Bratt J. (A) 
Heinola V. 
Hertl T. 
Rondbjerg J. 
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