Match Info

VHL

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelmet		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.92	2.87
	2.27	3.63	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.24)	3.28 ↓ (3.94)	2.85 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
38.9%

Draw
28.4%

Zauralie Kurgan
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

23.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

23.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Zauralie Kurgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Chelmet - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
93. Mosharov D. (G)	60. Gorbunov I. (G)
42. Yusupov V.	3. Shikun A.
79. Savelyev A.	79. Isayev I. (C)
33. Rykmanov A.	13. Ugolnikov A.
57. Telegin N.	93. Kozlov I.
98. Kolodiy L.	17. Lipanov A.
Line 2
22. Filatov A.	67. Vasilyev K.
48. Pronichkin A.	77. Belyakov F. (A)
16. Shen A.	11. Ryzhov K.
66. Drugalya S. (A)	34. Tagirov K.
14. Zinovyev I. (C)	24. Smirnov N.
Line 3
18. Mikanovich D.	61. Kozhemyakin G.
43. Rodionov M.	16. Avvakumov I.
36. Shubin D.	99. Kolesnikov S.
37. Mits Z.	78. Komaristy A. (A)
46. Shaveko V.	87. Nizovtsev S.
Line 4
90. Klimontov K. (A)	73. Shapenkov K.
25. Fakhrutdinov R.	82. Shiryayev I.
67. Shchekoldin K.	98. Govorkov R.
17. Yekimov N.	7. Baldayev D.
Substitutes
30. Utenkov D. (G)	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
11:49, 1 - 0, Yekimov N. (G), Shchekoldin K. (A), Shubin D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:31, 2 - 0, Savelyev A. (G), Rykmanov A. (A), Kolodiy L. (A2)
17:25, 2 - 1, Nizovtsev S. (G), Komaristy A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
05:30, 3 - 1, Kolodiy L. (G), Shchekoldin K. (A), Filatov A. (A2)
12:27, 3 - 2, Tagirov K. (G), Belyakov F. (A), Ugolnikov A. (A2)
19:25, 3 - 3, Kozlov I. (G), Kozhemyakin G. (A), Ugolnikov A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:54, 3 - 4, Vasilyev K. (G), Ryzhov K. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Chelmet could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 48:49. (average 2.4:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 2.7:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.86%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.34%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
07.11.25	Chelmet - Rubin Tyumen	3:4 penalties ✺
05.11.25	Chelmet - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:4 penalties ✺
31.10.25	Buran Voronezh - Chelmet	1:2 OT ✺
29.10.25	Rostov - Chelmet	3:1 ✺
27.10.25	Tambov - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLW
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
07.11.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2 penalties ✺
05.11.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Torpedo-Gorky	4:1 ✺
29.10.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Khimik	4:2 ✺
27.10.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Zvezda Moscow	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelmet	4:1
VHL
30.01.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelmet	2:3 OT
21.10.24	Chelmet - Zauralie Kurgan	0:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
07.08.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelmet	1:2
02.08.24	Chelmet - Zauralie Kurgan	4:3 penalties
VHL
22.12.23	Chelmet - Zauralie Kurgan	2:5
20.10.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelmet	2:1 penalties

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