The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Blackhawks 32.9%
Draw 22.1%
Ottawa Senators 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
22.2%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
21.7%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Blackhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Blackhawks than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Chicago Blackhawks - Ottawa Senators Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ottawa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Ottawa (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ottawa (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Knight S. (G)
35. Ullmark L. (G)
6. Rinzel S.
2. Zub A.
72. Vlasic A.
85. Sanderson J.
28. Burakovsky A.
19. Batherson D.
98. Bedard C.
18. Stutzle T. (A)
20. Greene R.
21. Cousins N.
Line 2
5. Murphy C. (A)
3. Jensen N.
48. Grzelcyk M.
72. Chabot T. (A)
59. Bertuzzi T.
57. Perron D.
91. Nazar F.
24. Cozens D.
86. Teravainen T.
71. Greig R.
Line 3
55. Levshunov A.
33. Matinpalo N.
44. Kaiser W.
43. Kleven T.
34. Dach C.
28. Giroux C. (A)
16. Dickinson J. (A)
12. Pinto S.
8. Donato R.
22. Amadio M.
Line 4
46. Crevier L.
20. Zetterlund F.
17. Foligno N. (C)
89. Eller L.
24. Lafferty S.
15. Lycksell O.
Substitutes
40. Soderblom A. (G)
1. Merilainen L. (G)
Coaches
. Blashill J.
. Green T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
06:47, 1 - 0, Dach C. (G), Crevier L. (A), Foligno N. (A2)
07:52, Rinzel S. (2 min),
12:06, 2 - 0, Crevier L. (G), Dickinson J. (A), Vlasic A. (A2)
17:37, Perron D. (2 min),
17:53, 3 - 0, Bedard C. (G), Burakovsky A. (A), Nazar F. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
00:24, Rinzel S. (2 min),
02:58, 4 - 0, Bedard C. (G), Grzelcyk M. (A), Levshunov A. (A2)
04:58, 4 - 1, Sanderson J. (G), Batherson D. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
07:09, 4 - 2, Amadio M. (G), Zub A. (A),
08:31, 4 - 3, Stutzle T. (G), Matinpalo N. (A), Batherson D. (A2)
08:31, (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
03:46, 5 - 3, Bedard C. (G), Greene R. (A),
08:24, 6 - 3, Donato R. (G), Bedard C. (A), Burakovsky A. (A2)
11:36, Bertuzzi T. (2 min),
11:36, Rinzel S. (2 min),
11:36, Bertuzzi T. (2 min),
11:36, Stutzle T. (2 min),
11:36, Cousins N. (2 min),
12:44, 7 - 3, Nazar F. (G), Foligno N. (A),
12:44, Vlasic A. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Ottawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ottawa has had a series of home games.
Ottawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Chicago: Bertuzzi T.
(Injury)
Brossoit L.
(Hip Injury)
Weber S.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Ottawa: Tkachuk B.
(Finger Injury)
There are questionable in Chicago: Mikheyev I.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 73:47. (average 3.7:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 3.4:2.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 44.39%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.