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Current Win Probability
Ottawa Senators 47.6%
Draw 22%
Boston Bruins 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
23.2%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
24.9%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Boston Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Bruins than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
30%
30%
Ottawa Senators - Boston Bruins Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Boston will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Boston (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Boston (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5, OT - Boston (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Boston (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Merilainen L. (G)
70. Korpisalo J. (G)
2. Zub A.
73. McAvoy C.
85. Sanderson J.
91. Zadorov N.
19. Batherson D.
88. Pastrnak D.
18. Stutzle T.
92. Khusnutdinov M.
57. Perron D.
39. Geekie M.
Line 2
10. Spence J.
26. Peeke A.
43. Kleven T.
27. Lindholm H.
20. Zetterlund F.
71. Arvidsson V.
24. Cozens D.
18. Zacha P.
71. Greig R.
21. Steeves A.
Line 3
3. Jensen N.
20. Jokiharju H.
33. Matinpalo N.
6. Lohrei M.
28. Giroux C.
47. Kastelic M.
12. Pinto S.
93. Minten F.
22. Amadio M.
84. Jeannot T.
Line 4
23. MacDermid K.
81. Eyssimont M.
89. Eller L.
52. Kuraly S.
21. Cousins N.
48. Truchon-Viel J.
Substitutes
35. Ullmark L. (G)
1. Swayman J. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.
. Sturm M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
00:40, Truchon-Viel J. (2 min),
01:28, 1 - 0, Giroux C. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Cozens D. (A2)
10:56, Lohrei M. (2 min),
19:03, 2 - 0, Cozens D. (G), Zetterlund F. (A), Spence J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:46, Zub A. (2 min),
11:49, 2 - 1, Geekie M. (G), Pastrnak D. (A), Khusnutdinov M. (A2)
14:40, MacDermid K. (5 min),
14:40, Jeannot T. (5 min),
3rd Period (3 - 2)
01:06, 3 - 1, Pinto S. (G), Amadio M. (A), Sanderson J. (A2)
02:11, Zub A. (2 min),
03:49, 3 - 2, Pastrnak D. (G), Geekie M. (A), Arvidsson V. (A2)
05:15, 3 - 3, Kastelic M. (G), Jeannot T. (A),
14:17, 4 - 3, Stutzle T. (G), Batherson D. (A), Zub A. (A2)
19:42, 5 - 3, Stutzle T. (G), Giroux C. (A),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 3.
Recent performances by Ottawa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Boston is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Ottawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ottawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Ottawa: Tkachuk B.
(Finger Injury)
There will not play in Boston: Harris J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lindholm E.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mittelstadt C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Ottawa: Chabot T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Boston: Beecher J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 58:58. (average 2.9:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:29. (average 3.9:2.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 47.06%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Boston Bruins - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 29.74%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Merilainen L. (G) 
Zub A. 
McAvoy C. 
Batherson D. 
Pastrnak D. 
Stutzle T. 
Lindholm H. 
Eller L. 
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