The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Blackhawks 19.7%
Draw 19.2%
Tampa Bay Lightning 61.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.8%
21.3%
55.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.6%
22.1%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Blackhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Lightning's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Blackhawks than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Lightning, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
22.2%
55.6%
Chicago Blackhawks - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5
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Lineups
Line 1
40. Soderblom A. (G)
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
46. Crevier L.
43. Raddysh D.
72. Vlasic A.
90. Moser J.J.
28. Burakovsky A.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
98. Bedard C.
71. Cirelli A. (A)
20. Greene R.
38. Hagel B.
Line 2
55. Levshunov A.
81. Cernak E.
44. Kaiser W.
51. D'Astous C.
59. Bertuzzi T.
59. Guentzel J. (A)
91. Nazar F.
17. James D.
8. Donato R.
93. Goncalves G.
Line 3
5. Murphy C. (A)
24. Crozier M.
48. Grzelcyk M.
67. Carlile D.
95. Mikheyev I.
29. Holmberg P.
16. Dickinson J.
37. Gourde Y.
17. Foligno N. (C)
28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
76. Lardis N.
62. Finley J.
11. Moore O.
20. Paul N.
84. Slaggert L.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
Substitutes
30. Knight S. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
Coaches
. Blashill J.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
03:23, Foligno N. (5 min),
03:23, Finley J. (5 min),
03:23, Finley J. (2 min),
07:25, Soderblom A. (2 min),
15:36, Raddysh D. (2 min),
17:42, 1 - 0, Greene R. (G), Lardis N. (A), Moore O. (A2)
17:42, (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:11, Levshunov A. (2 min),
18:42, 1 - 1, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A), Cirelli A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
04:56, Dickinson J. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Lardis N. (Penalty Shot),
1, D'Astous C. (Penalty Shot),
2, Bedard C. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kucherov N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Nazar F. (Penalty Shot),
3, Guentzel J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Crevier L. (Penalty Shot),
4, Goncalves G. (Penalty Shot),
5, Moore O. (Penalty Shot),
5, James D. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3.
Recent performances by Chicago have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tampa Bay is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Chicago has had a series of home games.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
In this match, Tampa Bay is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Chicago: Ellis R.
(Back Injury)
Teravainen T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Weber S.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Elbow Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Point B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sabourin S.
(Head Injury)
There are questionable in Chicago: Burakovsky A.
(Illness)
There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Cirelli A.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 52:79. (average 2.6:4).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 2.7:4.6).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% Chicago Blackhawks: 0.33%
Last Results with these Odds
Chicago Blackhawks - the odds 4.14 are the expected chance of winning is 22.82%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Soderblom A. (G) 
Vasilevski A. (G) 
Crevier L. 
Vlasic A. 
Moser J.J. 
Levshunov A. 
Cernak E. 
Girgensons Z. 
Bjorkstrand O. 
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