Match Info

NHL

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Benchmark International Arena (Tampa, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Tampa Bay Lightning		San Jose Sharks

	1	X	2
	1.53	5	5	Watch
	1.54	5.01	4.87
	1.54	4.99	4.9	Watch
	1.57	5	4.5
	1.6	4.98	4.93
	1.52	5.25	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.71)	5.04 ↑ (4.56)	4.83 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Lightning
61.4%

Draw
18.9%

San Jose Sharks
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

20.7%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

21.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.

San Jose Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Sharks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - San Jose (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tampa Bay Lightning will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)	30. Askarov Y. (G)
43. Raddysh D.	3. Klingberg J.
90. Moser J.J.	9. Orlov D.
86. Kucherov N. (A)	2. Smith W.
71. Cirelli A. (A)	71. Celebrini M.
38. Hagel B.	51. Graf C.
Line 2
81. Cernak E.	37. Liljegren T.
51. D'Astous C.	38. Ferraro M. (A)
59. Guentzel J. (A)	73. Toffoli T. (A)
17. James D.	21. Wennberg A. (A)
93. Goncalves G.	72. Eklund W.
Line 3
24. Crozier M.	5. Desharnais V.
67. Carlile D.	6. Dickinson S.
29. Holmberg P.	92. Chernyshov I.
37. Gourde Y.	77. Misa M.
28. Girgensons Z.	84. Regenda P.
Line 4
62. Finley J.	75. Reaves R.
20. Paul N.	63. Ostapchuk Z.
22. Bjorkstrand O.	23. Goodrow B.
Substitutes
31. Johansson J. (G)	33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.	. Warsofsky R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
14:37, 0 - 1, Toffoli T. (G), Eklund W. (A), Wennberg A. (A2)
15:10, 1 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:49, 2 - 1, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
03:17, 3 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), James D. (A), Goncalves G. (A2)
06:51, Reaves R. (2 min),
12:57, (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:41, 4 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.

Tampa Bay is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Point B. (Lower-Body Injury) Sabourin S. (Head Injury)

There will not play in San Jose: Couture L. (Groin Injury) Dellandrea T. (Lower-Body Injury) Kurashev P. (Upper-Body Injury) Mukhamadullin S. (Upper-Body Injury) Price C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 84:43. (average 4.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 4.6:2.2).

Outrights of NHL for now

Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% San Jose Sharks: 1.96%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
18.01.26	Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:4 ✺
16.01.26	St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:2 penalties ✺
13.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:2 penalties ✺
12.01.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:5 ✺
10.01.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWW
- San Jose Sharks
NHL
19.01.26	Florida Panthers - San Jose Sharks	1:4 ✺
16.01.26	Detroit Red Wings - San Jose Sharks	4:2 ✺
15.01.26	Washington Capitals - San Jose Sharks	2:3 ✺
11.01.26	San Jose Sharks - Vegas Golden Knights	2:7 ✺
10.01.26	San Jose Sharks - Dallas Stars	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
03.01.26	San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:7
02.01.25	San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:1
05.12.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks	8:1
21.03.24	San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:4
26.10.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks	6:0
07.02.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks	3:4 OT
29.10.22	San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:4

Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide