The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis Blues 25.7%
Draw 22.6%
Tampa Bay Lightning 51.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.1%
22.6%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
23.2%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Louis Blues's form might have worsened.
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Lightning's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Blues than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Louis Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Lightning, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. St. Louis will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Hofer J. (G)
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
55. Parayko C. (A)
43. Raddysh D.
6. Broberg P.
90. Moser J.J.
21. Snuggerud J.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
10. Schenn B. (C)
20. Paul N.
28. Stenberg O.
59. Guentzel J. (A)
Line 2
72. Faulk J. (A)
81. Cernak E.
75. Tucker T.
51. D'Astous C.
25. Kyrou J.
93. Goncalves G.
54. Dvorsky D.
71. Cirelli A. (A)
63. Neighbours J.
38. Hagel B.
Line 3
23. Mailloux L.
24. Crozier M.
17. Fowler C.
67. Carlile D.
29. Berggren J.
29. Holmberg P.
77. Bjugstad N.
37. Gourde Y.
89. Buchnevich P.
28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
26. Walker N.
17. James D.
70. Sundqvist O.
62. Finley J.
13. Toropchenko A.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
Substitutes
50. Binnington J. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
Coaches
. Montgomery J.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
17:03, 1 - 0, Neighbours J. (G), Kyrou J. (A), Fowler C. (A2)
17:33, 2 - 0, Bjugstad N. (G), Buchnevich P. (A),
18:40, Goncalves G. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
08:03, Toropchenko A. (2 min),
09:51, Walker N. (2 min),
09:59, 2 - 1, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
11:01, 2 - 2, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
13:05, Guentzel J. (2 min),
19:30, Schenn B. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Goncalves G. (Penalty Shot),
1, Neighbours J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Guentzel J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kyrou J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kucherov N. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 2.
In recent matches, St. Louis has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tampa Bay is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
Tampa Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in St. Louis: Holloway D.
(Ankle Injury)
Joseph M.
(Elbow Injury)
Krug T.
(Ankle Injury)
Suter P.
(Ankle Injury)
Thomas R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Elbow Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Injury)
Point B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sabourin S.
(Head Injury)
There are questionable in St. Louis: Broberg P.
(Concussion)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 51:56. (average 2.6:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 3.1:2.2).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% St. Louis Blues: 0.59%
Last Results with these Odds
St. Louis Blues - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 31.08%, but this team recently wins 37% of matches with these odds.