Match Info

NHL

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Benchmark International Arena (Tampa, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay, V Sport Live 3
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Tampa Bay Lightning		Edmonton Oilers

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.25	3.25	Watch
	1.95	4.48	3.16
	2.30	4.31	2.55	Watch
	2.03	4.67	3.09
	2.03	4.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.3)	4.4 ↑ (4.31)	2.99 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Lightning
46.5%

Draw
21.7%

Edmonton Oilers
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

21.9%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

21.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.

Edmonton Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Edmonton Oilers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Edmonton will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Tampa Bay (3.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 9 - 90%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)	30. Pickard C. (G)
81. Cernak E.	2. Bouchard E.
51. D'Astous C.	25. Nurse D. (A)
86. Kucherov N. (A)	28. Roslovic J.
71. Cirelli A.	97. McDavid C. (C)
38. Hagel B.	22. Savoie M.
Line 2
43. Raddysh D.	96. Walman J.
90. Moser J.J.	14. Ekholm M.
20. Paul N.	88. Mangiapane A.
21. Point B. (A)	29. Draisaitl L. (A)
59. Guentzel J.	92. Podkolzin V.
Line 3
16. Santini S.	49. Emberson T.
78. Lilleberg E.	27. Kulak B.
22. Bjorkstrand O.	18. Hyman Z.
37. Gourde Y.	19. Henrique A.
28. Girgensons Z.	10. Frederic T.
Line 4
93. Goncalves G.	75. Regula A.
17. James D.	86. Tomasek D.
42. Douglas C.	13. Janmark M.
Substitutes
31. Johansson J. (G)	74. Skinner S. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.	. Knoblauch K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
01:32, 0 - 1, Frederic T. (G), Draisaitl L. (A),
02:13, Guentzel J. (2 min),
13:01, Douglas C. (5 min),
13:01, Nurse D. (5 min),
13:01, Nurse D. (2 min),
19:59, Regula A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
09:28, Kulak B. (2 min),
15:36, Moser J.J. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:28, 1 - 1, Paul N. (G), Moser J.J. (A), Lilleberg E. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:43, 2 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Edmonton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.

Recently, Edmonton has had a series of away games.

Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Lower-Body Injury) Crozier M. (Injury) Holmberg P. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Paul N. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Edmonton: Kapanen K. (Lower-Body Injury) Lazar C. (Upper-Body Injury) Nugent-Hopkins R. (Injury) Philp N. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Injury)

We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 2.06.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 71:59. (average 3.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:22. (average 4.1:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 41.06%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Edmonton Oilers - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 37.03%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
18.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - New Jersey Devils	5:1 ✺
16.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks	2:6 ✺
15.11.25	Florida Panthers - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:3 ✺
12.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Rangers	3:7 ✺
08.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLW
- Edmonton Oilers
NHL
19.11.25	Washington Capitals - Edmonton Oilers	7:4 ✺
17.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - Edmonton Oilers	5:1 ✺
15.11.25	Carolina Hurricanes - Edmonton Oilers	3:4 OT ✺
13.11.25	Columbus Blue Jackets - Edmonton Oilers	5:4 ✺
12.11.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Edmonton Oilers	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
25.02.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers	4:1
10.12.24	Edmonton Oilers - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:1
14.12.23	Edmonton Oilers - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:7
18.11.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers	6:4
19.01.23	Edmonton Oilers - Tampa Bay Lightning	5:3
08.11.22	Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers	2:3
12.03.22	Edmonton Oilers - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:1

Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide