Match Info

Date: 4 October 2021, Monday


	Admiral Vladivostok		Dinamo Riga

	1	X	2
	2.5	4	2.4	Watch
	2.45	4	2.5
	2.38	4.1	2.5	Watch
	2.42	4	2.46
	2.41	4.1	2.55
	2.38	4	2.5
	2.48	4	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.6)	4.03 ↓ (4.1)	2.48 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Admiral Vladivostok
38.7%

Draw
23.4%

Dinamo Riga
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

23.1%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

17.3%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Admiral Vladivostok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Dinamo Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Admiral Vladivostok than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Admiral Vladivostok that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Riga than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Riga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Admiral Vladivostok - Dinamo Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Admiral will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Dinamo Riga will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Admiral: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Admiral could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Admiral won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Admiral won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Admiral Vladivostok
KHL
02.10.21	Admiral Vladivostok - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
28.09.21	Kunlun - Admiral Vladivostok	3:1 ✺
26.09.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Admiral Vladivostok	4:0 ✺
24.09.21	Ak Bars Kazan - Admiral Vladivostok	2:1 penalties ✺
20.09.21	Admiral Vladivostok - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLL
- Dinamo Riga
KHL
02.10.21	Amur Khabarovsk - Dinamo Riga	3:2 penalties ✺
29.09.21	Dinamo Riga - Severstal Cherepovets	0:2 ✺
27.09.21	Dinamo Riga - Sochi	2:1 ✺
23.09.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Dinamo Riga	2:1 OT ✺
21.09.21	Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo Riga	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
22.02.20	Admiral Vladivostok - Dinamo Riga	3:1
25.01.20	Dinamo Riga - Admiral Vladivostok	1:2 penalties
14.10.18	Dinamo Riga - Admiral Vladivostok	2:0
19.09.18	Admiral Vladivostok - Dinamo Riga	2:3 penalties
20.12.17	Admiral Vladivostok - Dinamo Riga	1:3
27.09.17	Dinamo Riga - Admiral Vladivostok	2:5
12.01.17	Admiral Vladivostok - Dinamo Riga	1:3

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