Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Dinamo St. Petersburg		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.96	3.32	Watch
	2.1	3.75	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.14)	3.86 ↑ (3.82)	3.01 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo St. Petersburg
45.5%

Draw
23.9%

Zvezda Moscow
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

24.1%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo St. Petersburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zvezda Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
22. Velmakin Y. (G)	31. Novozhilov I. (G)
67. Sarayev V.	80. Barabosha A.
59. Kalinichenko R.	48. Barantsev D. (A)
96. Zinchenko I.	87. Yapparov Y.
93. Zugan D.	98. Pankratov S. (A)
23. Kotkov V.	77. Solovyov Y.
Line 2
79. Tikhonov M. (A)	76. Shuravin M.
76. Stepanov D.	8. Bobryashov N.
57. Golikov M.	62. Shalyshkin N.
9. Davydov D.	19. Prokhorov A. (C)
28. Bondar A.	23. Khulapov D.
Line 3
14. Nurgaliyev E.	44. Stanislavskiy D.
7. Kozlovsky Y. (C)	6. Gordeyev M.
97. Ugolnikov I.	56. Vlasenko D.
42. Zhukenov D.	25. Lazutin D.
56. Kazakovtsev I.	42. Savvateyev V.
Line 4
70. Rodionov Y.	32. Rogov I.
99. Boikov L.	70. Yanchenko I.
11. Yezhov I.	75. Averochkin M.
78. Nechayev A. (A)	79. Dronyk V.
8. Ogirchuk D.
Substitutes
21. Platunov A. (G)	45. Gluschenko R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
03:12, 0 - 1, Yapparov Y. (G),
04:26, 1 - 1, Ugolnikov I. (G), Sarayev V. (A),
13:32, 1 - 2, Vlasenko D. (G), Savvateyev V. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
17:18, 1 - 3, Vlasenko D. (G),
19:05, 1 - 4, Lazutin D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Zvezda Moscow has had a series of home games.

Dinamo SP could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 59:46. (average 3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo SP won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:20. (average 3.2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
17	Dinamo St. Petersburg	12	5	1	1	5	35:39	13
26	Zvezda Moscow	12	2	2	1	7	26:37	9

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo St. Petersburg - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.07%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dinamo St. Petersburg
VHL
20.02.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Khimik	2:3 ✺
18.02.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Torpedo-Gorky	2:5 ✺
13.02.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	0:3 ✺
11.02.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:4 penalties ✺
09.02.26	Chelmet - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWWL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
20.02.26	SKA-VMF - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk	4:1 ✺
13.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:2 ✺
11.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 OT ✺
09.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Dynamo-Altay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
25.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.08.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zvezda Moscow	2:3
VHL
21.01.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zvezda Moscow	3:2
30.10.24	Zvezda Moscow - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:6
16.02.24	Zvezda Moscow - Dinamo St. Petersburg	5:4 OT
05.09.23	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zvezda Moscow	3:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.08.23	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zvezda Moscow	3:4

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