Match Info

VHL

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Zvezda Moscow		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.97	3.87
	1.79	4.1	3.8	Watch
	1.68	4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.84)	4.02 ↑ (3.92)	3.81 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
52.8%

Draw
23%

Norilsk
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

23.5%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

25.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zvezda Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
45. Gluschenko R. (G)	45. Nikitin V. (G)
3. Sidorov M. (A)	3. Kudryashov I.
48. Barantsev D.	51. Popov O.
87. Yapparov Y.	63. Yemets I.
98. Pankratov S. (A)	92. Yakovlev Y. (A)
77. Solovyov Y.	71. Golodnyuk S. (A)
Line 2
6. Gordeyev M.	64. Minayev Y.
49. Bryutov Y.	18. Alexeyev D.
62. Shalyshkin N.	56. Mokin N. (C)
19. Prokhorov A. (C)	10. Lipanov A.
23. Khulapov D.	7. Kirileichenko M.
Line 3
44. Stanislavskiy D.	21. Kolomiytsev I.
8. Bobryashov N.	72. Korchemkin D.
56. Vlasenko D.	69. Skorikov D.
25. Lazutin D.	86. Melnichenko K.
42. Savvateyev V.	81. Barinov S.
Line 4
80. Barabosha A.	82. Bulychyov G.
70. Yanchenko I.	99. Kandakov D.
75. Averochkin M.	58. Yadykin Y.
79. Dronyk V.	14. Sinyatkin S.
Substitutes
31. Novozhilov I. (G)	37. Botov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
07:05, 0 - 1, Skorikov D. (G), Barinov S. (A),
17:20, 1 - 1, Khulapov D. (G), Barabosha A. (A), Shalyshkin N. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
08:13, 2 - 1, Lazutin D. (G), Vlasenko D. (A),
09:00, 3 - 1, Solovyov Y. (G), Barantsev D. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:41, 4 - 1, Savvateyev V. (G), Vlasenko D. (A), Gordeyev M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Norilsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zvezda Moscow is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Zvezda Moscow will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 3.3:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	HC Norilsk	14	7	1	2	4	32:32	18
26	Zvezda Moscow	12	2	2	1	7	26:37	9

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.97%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
13.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:2 ✺
11.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 OT ✺
09.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Dynamo-Altay	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Tambov - Zvezda Moscow	6:1 ✺
02.02.26	Rostov - Zvezda Moscow	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW
- HK Norilsk
VHL
13.02.26	Khimik - Norilsk	2:3 penalties ✺
11.02.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Norilsk	4:0 ✺
07.02.26	Norilsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:0 ✺
05.02.26	Norilsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:4 ✺
03.02.26	Norilsk - Chelmet	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
02.10.25	Norilsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:2
27.02.25	Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk	5:4 penalties
23.09.24	Norilsk - Zvezda Moscow	2:4
23.01.24	Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk	5:1
28.09.23	Norilsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
16.08.23	Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk	0:2

Upcoming Matches