Match Info

VHL

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: VHL 🌤️ ...


	Zvezda Moscow		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	3.19	3.77	1.96
	3.24	4	1.97	Watch
	3.4	3.85	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.91)	3.87 ↓ (4.13)	1.91 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
28.1%

Draw
23.8%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
48.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.5%

22.3%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

23.6%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metallurg Novokuznetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+3%)

Zvezda Moscow - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Zvezda Moscow (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zvezda Moscow (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
31. Novozhilov I. (G)	94. Bogdanov N. (G)
3. Sidorov M. (A)	47. Churkin V.
48. Barantsev D.	75. Starikov L.
69. Maistrenko O.	33. Shablovsky Z.
98. Pankratov S. (A)	40. Apalkov D. (C)
77. Solovyov Y.	61. Gorshkov A. (A)
Line 2
6. Gordeyev M.	54. Chibrikov I.
76. Shuravin M.	9. Belov D.
87. Yapparov Y.	21. Kodola V.
19. Prokhorov A. (C)	43. Verba M.
23. Khulapov D.	88. Shalagin M.
Line 3
44. Stanislavskiy D.	8. Naumov V.
32. Rogov I.	46. Berezin M.
56. Vlasenko D.	97. Ovchinnikov D.
25. Lazutin D.	24. Khrapov F.
97. Churkin A.	10. Sheshin D. (A)
Line 4
80. Barabosha A.	26. Tkach S.
70. Yanchenko I.	89. Guslistov N.
75. Averochkin M.	50. Kurbatov V.
79. Dronyk V.	18. Serdyuk Y.
Substitutes
45. Gluschenko R. (G)	42. Kondyukov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:14, 1 - 0, Maistrenko O. (G), Gordeyev M. (A), Sidorov M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:05, 2 - 0, Yapparov Y. (G), Sidorov M. (A), Khulapov D. (A2)
18:32, 2 - 1, Gorshkov A. (G), Guslistov N. (A),
19:20, 2 - 2, Guslistov N. (G), Gorshkov A. (A), Kodola V. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:05, 2 - 3, Starikov L. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 3.

Zvezda Moscow is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Metallurg N's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Metallurg N may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Metallurg N has had a series of home games.

Metallurg N could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 55:61. (average 2.8:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 2.9:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	17	7	2	3	5	31:22	21
23	Zvezda Moscow	17	3	4	1	9	42:53	15

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.22%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
09.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Dynamo-Altay	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Tambov - Zvezda Moscow	6:1 ✺
02.02.26	Rostov - Zvezda Moscow	2:3 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Zvezda Moscow	1:3 ✺
27.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Omskie Krylia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
09.02.26	Khimik - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:3 ✺
02.02.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:1 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:5 ✺
29.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
27.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
07.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:1
23.02.25	Zvezda Moscow - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:2
28.09.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:3
27.11.23	Zvezda Moscow - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:1
21.11.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:6 OT
13.02.23	Zvezda Moscow - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:0
09.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:2

Upcoming Matches