Match Info

KHL

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: VTB Arena (Moscow) 🌤️ ...


	Dynamo Moscow		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.98	4.28
	1.68	3.90	4.20
	1.89	4.29	3.73	Watch
	1.74	4.10	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	4.07 ↓ (4.47)	4 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Moscow
53.5%

Draw
23.1%

Sibir Novosibirsk
23.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

21.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

21.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Dynamo Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sibir (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
99. Motorygin M. (G)	33. Krasotkin A. (G)
45. Pylenkov D.	6. Smirnov N.
92. Ozhiganov I. (C)	44. Dietz D. (A)
57. Shvets-Rogovoy A. (A)	96. Korshkov Y.
16. Shen P.	12. Nekolenko A. (A)
29. Shafigullin B.	11. Koshelev S.
Line 2
94. Novikov N.	74. Orlov M.
96. Sharakanov M.	21. Alanov Y. (C)
10. Merkley N.	34. Popov S.
7. Letunov M.	95. Yaremchuk A.
90. Sikura D.	13. Nikulin S.
Line 3
75. Patalakha M.	38. Baklashev N.
5. Zborovsky S.	47. Mishchenko I.
27. Melikov M.	31. Mirzabalayev A.
91. Weal J. (A)	18. Tyutnev P.
35. Korostelev N.	15. Kosolapov A.
Line 4
43. Ryabykin Y.	28. Pershakov A.
47. Bondar A.	8. Lazutin D.
9. Davydov D.	86. Lyuzenkov I.
70. Martynov I.
Substitutes
79. Nikonov A.	1. Berdin M. (G)
59. Podyapolsky V. (G)	24. Sushko M.
Coaches
. Tambijevs L.	. Lyuzenkov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
12:41, Nekolenko A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:41, 1 - 0, Pylenkov D. (G), Ozhiganov I. (A), Weal J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:45, Yaremchuk A. (2 min),
02:37, 2 - 0, Letunov M. (G), Weal J. (A), Pylenkov D. (A2)
08:32, Martynov I. (2 min),
09:40, 2 - 1, Yaremchuk A. (G), Kosolapov A. (A), Nekolenko A. (A2)
18:12, 2 - 2, Yaremchuk A. (G), Kosolapov A. (A), Nikulin S. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
03:35, Smirnov N. (2 min),
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Weal J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Kosolapov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Korostelev N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Korshkov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Merkley N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Nikulin S. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kosolapov A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Melikov M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Nikulin S. (Penalty Shot),
5, Weal J. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 9th and 8th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 4.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Dynamo M may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Dynamo M carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo M has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:52 (averaging 3.2:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dynamo M against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 38:28 goals (averaging 3.5:2.5 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Dynamo Moscow: 2.86%

Last Results with these Odds

Dynamo Moscow - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 52.47%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Sibir Novosibirsk - the odds 3.76 are the expected chance of winning is 25.82%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dynamo Moscow
KHL
18.10.26	Lada Togliatti - Dynamo Moscow	1:2 penalties ✺
16.10.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Dynamo Moscow	5:4 ✺
14.10.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Dynamo Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	4:3 AET ✺
09.10.26	Dynamo Moscow - HC CSKA Moscow	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL
- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
17.10.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana	0:1 ✺
14.10.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:4 ✺
12.10.26	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
20.11.25	Dynamo Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:4 penalties
15.11.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dynamo Moscow	2:3
20.11.24	Dynamo Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:2
15.11.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dynamo Moscow	1:2
16.10.23	Dynamo Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:1
25.09.23	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dynamo Moscow	3:2
10.11.22	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dynamo Moscow	5:3

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