Match Info

KHL

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday

Location: VTB Arena (Moscow)


	Dynamo Moscow		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.55	5.58
	1.41	5.62	6.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	5.09 ↓ (5.71)	5.96 ↓ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Moscow
66%

Draw
18.4%

Sibir Novosibirsk
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

17%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

16.7%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Dynamo Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Line 1
59. Podyapolsky V. (G)	33. Krasotkin A. (G)
92. Ozhiganov I. (C)	74. Orlov M.
45. Pylenkov D.	21. Alanov Y. (A)
90. Sikura D.	88. Kara V.
91. Weal J.	55. Tkachyov V. (C)
97. Gusev N.	82. Chekhovich I.
Line 2
93. Sergeyev A.	76. Akhiyarov T.
33. Claesson F.	44. Lukin A.
10. Comtois M.	51. Leshchenko V.
57. Shvets-Rogovoy A.	12. Nekolenko A.
9. Slepyshev A. (A)	11. Koshelev S.
Line 3
96. Sharakanov M.	42. Kalinichenko R.
44. Adamchuk K.	27. Gordeev F.
98. Mamin M.	86. Lyuzenkov I.
34. Ilyenko A. (A)	92. Rasskazov K.
7. Dzhioshvili M.	23. Klimovich Y.
Line 4
75. Patalakha M.	54. Churkin A.
87. Rimashevsky Y.	73. Zhukov A.
84. Artemyev S.	72. Bulavchuk O.
12. Chernov A.	26. Klimovich I.
	61. Yakovlev A. (A)
Substitutes
47. Bondar A.	30. Kokaulin S. (G)
99. Motorygin M. (G)
Coaches
. Kozlov V.	. Lyuzenkov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:36, Akhiyarov T. (2 min),
03:53, 0 - 1, Yakovlev A. (G), Alanov Y. (A),
15:13, 1 - 1, Artemyev S. (G), Ozhiganov I. (A), Pylenkov D. (A2)
16:05, Chekhovich I. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:51, 1 - 2, Chekhovich I. (G), Gordeev F. (A), Tkachyov V. (A2)
10:56, Sergeyev A. (2 min),
12:26, 1 - 3, Chekhovich I. (G), Nekolenko A. (A), Tkachyov V. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:39, Klimovich I. (2 min),
08:30, Sikura D. (2 min),
09:27, Dzhioshvili M. (2 min),
15:46, 2 - 3, Sikura D. (G), Pylenkov D. (A), Weal J. (A2)
19:57, 3 - 3, Comtois M. (G), Sikura D. (A), Pylenkov D. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 2)
1, Weal J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Rasskazov K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Gusev N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Tkachyov V. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 4.

Dynamo M has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sibir is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sibir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dynamo M is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 65:50. (average 3.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 3.5:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dynamo Moscow
KHL
18.11.25	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:4 ✺
15.11.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dynamo Moscow	2:3 ✺
13.11.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Dynamo Moscow	5:4 ✺
10.11.25	Dynamo Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	1:4 ✺
08.11.25	Dynamo Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
17.11.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Shanghai Dragons	0:3 ✺
15.11.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dynamo Moscow	2:3 ✺
12.11.25	Dinamo Minsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	7:0 ✺
10.11.25	Spartak Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	6:3 ✺
08.11.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
15.11.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dynamo Moscow	2:3
20.11.24	Dynamo Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:2
15.11.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dynamo Moscow	1:2
16.10.23	Dynamo Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:1
25.09.23	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dynamo Moscow	3:2
10.11.22	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dynamo Moscow	5:3
15.10.22	Dynamo Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:4 penalties

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