Match Info

KHL

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.23	4.59	1.73	Watch
	4	4.4	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (4.51)	4.5 ↓ (4.76)	1.72 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
23.2%

Draw
21.3%

Dynamo Moscow
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

20%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

18%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Lada Togliatti - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lada will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lada (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 5.5, OT - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Trushkov A. (G)	59. Podyapolsky V. (G)
22. Williams C.	92. Ozhiganov I. (C)
42. Syomin V. (C)	45. Pylenkov D.
66. Mikhailov N.	10. Comtois M.
13. Sawchuk R.	91. Weal J.
76. Tyanulin A. (A)	9. Slepyshev A. (A)
Line 2
8. Zemchyonok A.	93. Sergeyev A.
99. Makarov N.	33. Claesson F.
88. Setdikov N.	90. Sikura D.
21. Savchik I.	57. Shvets-Rogovoy A.
84. Altybarmakyan A. (A)	97. Gusev N.
Line 3
27. Cotton A.	96. Sharakanov M.
47. Morozov Y.	44. Adamchuk K.
77. Gogolev P.	98. Mamin M.
58. Obidin A.	84. Artemyev S.
10. Chivilyov A.	71. Der-Arguchintsev S.
Line 4
32. Taimazov A.	42. Galimov A.
64. Belousov M.	34. Ilyenko A. (A)
25. Romanov I.	85. Kudryavtsev P.
63. Groshev Y.
43. Ozhgikhin A.
Substitutes
60. Bocharov I. (G)	99. Motorygin M. (G)
	87. Rimashevsky Y.
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.	. Kozlov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
00:20, Trushkov A. (2 min),
13:47, 1 - 0, Syomin V. (G), Tyanulin A. (A), Sawchuk R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:43, Comtois M. (2 min),
01:41, 2 - 0, Setdikov N. (G), Morozov Y. (A), Romanov I. (A2)
06:39, Sharakanov M. (2 min),
10:59, Mamin M. (2 min),
13:08, 2 - 1, Mamin M. (G), Adamchuk K. (A), Podyapolsky V. (A2)
18:29, Comtois M. (2 min),
20:00, Tyanulin A. (2 min),
20:00, Ilyenko A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lada won 3.

Lada has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dynamo M has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dynamo M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Dynamo M is a strong favorite.

We predict that Lada will win today's game, with odds of 4.12.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lada won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:35. (average 2.5:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lada won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 2.8:2.3).

Outrights of KHL for now

Dynamo Moscow: 4.32%

Last Results with these Odds

Lada Togliatti - the odds 4.51 are the expected chance of winning is 21.12%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
20.01.26	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Lada Togliatti - Sochi	4:0 ✺
15.01.26	Lada Togliatti - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:5 ✺
12.01.26	Lada Togliatti - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:4 penalties ✺
09.01.26	Sochi - Lada Togliatti	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLW
- HC Dynamo Moscow
KHL
21.01.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Dynamo Moscow	2:1 penalties ✺
19.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	5:4 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo Minsk	2:3 ✺
14.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	3:5 ✺
12.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
05.12.25	Lada Togliatti - Dynamo Moscow	2:4
06.11.25	Dynamo Moscow - Lada Togliatti	4:3 penalties
08.11.24	Dynamo Moscow - Lada Togliatti	2:3
10.09.24	Lada Togliatti - Dynamo Moscow	6:3
28.12.23	Lada Togliatti - Dynamo Moscow	4:0
23.10.23	Dynamo Moscow - Lada Togliatti	5:4 OT
05.01.18	Lada Togliatti - Dynamo Moscow	3:1

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