Match Info

KHL

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: VTB Arena (Moscow)


	Dynamo Moscow		Sochi

	1	X	2
	1.44	5.3	6.96
	1.43	5.3	7.03	Watch
	1.38	5	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	5.2 ↑ (5.01)	6.91 ↑ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Moscow
67.7%

Draw
18.4%

Sochi
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

18.9%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

20.2%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Dynamo Moscow - Sochi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dynamo M will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo M (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Dynamo M (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo M (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
99. Motorygin M. (G)	30. Khomchenko P. (G)
92. Ozhiganov I. (C)	22. Hoefenmayer N.
45. Pylenkov D.	11. Volkov A. (A)
9. Slepyshev A. (A)	25. Dedunov P. (C)
57. Shvets-Rogovoy A.	87. Khafizov T. (A)
71. Der-Arguchintsev S.	78. Polyakov N.
Line 2
93. Sergeyev A.	51. Sushko I.
96. Sharakanov M.	12. Lee C.
90. Sikura D.	71. Ellis M.
91. Weal J.	77. Guskov M.
97. Gusev N.	55. Avramov F.
Line 3
32. Kol T.	37. Malyshev A.
44. Adamchuk K.	42. Khokhlov I.
42. Galimov A.	41. Bitten W.
34. Ilyenko A. (A)	61. Beaudin J.
10. Comtois M.	97. Seroukh D.
Line 4
75. Patalakha M.	14. Mokrushev D.
12. Chernov A.	29. Petukhov Y.
19. Zinchenko I.	34. Popov S.
87. Rimashevsky Y.	24. Bikmullin R.
Substitutes
84. Artemyev S.	35. Samsonov I. (G)
59. Podyapolsky V. (G)
Coaches
. Kozlov V.	. Mikhailov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
02:10, (2 min),
03:27, 1 - 0, Comtois M. (G), Pylenkov D. (A), Gusev N. (A2)
08:55, 2 - 0, Pylenkov D. (G), Ozhiganov I. (A), Sikura D. (A2)
09:58, Adamchuk K. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:14, 3 - 0, Comtois M. (G), Ilyenko A. (A), Patalakha M. (A2)
08:44, Artemyev S. (2 min),
09:52, Khafizov T. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:38, Pylenkov D. (2 min),
02:38, Pylenkov D. (2 min),
08:09, Chernov A. (2 min),
12:40, (2 min),
14:05, 4 - 0, Ozhiganov I. (G), Der-Arguchintsev S. (A), Slepyshev A. (A2)
19:01, Weal J. (2 min),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 1.

Dynamo M has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sochi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sochi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sochi has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dynamo M is the clear favorite.

We predict that Dynamo M will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 67:30. (average 3.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 3:1.7).

Outrights of KHL for now

Dynamo Moscow: 1.83% Sochi: 0.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Dynamo Moscow - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 66.25%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Sochi - the odds 6.34 are the expected chance of winning is 14.89%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dynamo Moscow
KHL
15.02.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Dynamo Moscow	2:4 ✺
13.02.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Dynamo Moscow	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	2:3 ✺
01.02.26	Dynamo Moscow - Avangard Omsk	1:4 ✺
30.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLL
- HC Sochi
KHL
17.02.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sochi	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 OT ✺
12.02.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sochi	3:5 ✺
10.02.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Sochi	10:1 ✺
03.02.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Sochi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
07.01.26	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	0:3
05.01.26	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	2:0
09.09.25	Dynamo Moscow - Sochi	2:3 penalties
19.02.25	Dynamo Moscow - Sochi	3:5
17.01.25	Dynamo Moscow - Sochi	1:3
07.01.25	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	0:2
05.01.25	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	1:5

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