The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dynamo Moscow 40.4%
Draw 23.9%
Severstal Cherepovets 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
22.7%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
24.4%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Dynamo Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 11 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Severstal: 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Severstal Cherepovets will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
99. Motorygin M. (G)
30. Skotnikov V. (G)
92. Ozhiganov I. (C)
32. Gregoire T.
45. Pylenkov D.
8. Kaldis Y.
90. Sikura D.
23. Liska A. (C)
91. Weal J. (A)
17. Abrosimov R. (A)
97. Gusev N.
90. Chefanov I.
Line 2
93. Sergeyev A.
2. Grudinin V.
44. Adamchuk K.
75. Davydov T.
10. Comtois M.
42. Tankov K.
57. Shvets-Rogovoy A.
53. Aimurzin D.
71. Der-Arguchintsev S.
99. Ilyin M.
Line 3
96. Sharakanov M.
7. Burenov N.
33. Claesson F.
21. Kamalov N.
98. Mamin M.
97. Chebykin N.
84. Artemyev S.
6. Ivantsov I.
87. Rimashevsky Y.
12. Skorenov A.
Line 4
75. Patalakha M.
85. Okunev I.
42. Galimov A.
16. Vashchenko G.
34. Ilyenko A. (A)
88. Dumbadze D. (A)
85. Kudryavtsev P.
66. Podshivalov I.
51. Kvochko I.
Substitutes
74. Podsukha I. (G)
1. Shostak K. (G)
Coaches
. Kozlov V.
. Kozyrev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
03:16, Galimov A. (2 min),
03:16, Davydov T. (2 min),
04:52, Chebykin N. (2 min),
04:52, Sikura D. (2 min),
12:28, 1 - 0, Shvets-Rogovoy A. (G), Comtois M. (A), Der-Arguchintsev S. (A2)
13:17, 2 - 0, Rimashevsky Y. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:53, Kamalov N. (2 min),
13:07, Sikura D. (2 min),
13:34, 2 - 1, Skorenov A. (G), Aimurzin D. (A), Kaldis Y. (A2)
17:20, 2 - 2, Liska A. (G), Chefanov I. (A), Abrosimov R. (A2)
17:32, Kvochko I. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
08:20, 2 - 3, Ivantsov I. (G), Grudinin V. (A), Skorenov A. (A2)
09:17, Aimurzin D. (2 min),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Severstal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Severstal has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 62:36. (average 3.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 3.3:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Dynamo Moscow - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.39%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.
Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.92%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Motorygin M. (G) 
Gregoire T. 
Liska A. (C) 
Claesson F. 
Skorenov A. 
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