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Current Win Probability
Dynamo Moscow 31.2%
Draw 24%
Avangard Omsk 44.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
22.9%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
23.3%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Avangard Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Omsk than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
28.6%
57.1%
Dynamo Moscow - Avangard Omsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Avangard will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Avangard Omsk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
59. Podyapolsky V. (G)
54. Serebryakov N. (G)
92. Ozhiganov I. (C)
55. Cecconi J.
45. Pylenkov D.
44. Sharipzyanov D.
9. Slepyshev A.
22. Poturalski A.
57. Shvets-Rogovoy A. (A)
9. McLeod M.
71. Der-Arguchintsev S.
65. Yakupov N.
Line 2
93. Sergeyev A.
66. Chistyakov S.
44. Adamchuk K.
88. Blazhiyevsky A.
90. Sikura D.
96. Rashevsky D.
91. Weal J.
92. Ponomaryov V.
10. Comtois M.
17. Okulov K.
Line 3
4. Kalinichenko R.
26. Voynov V.
33. Claesson F.
58. Lajoie M.
98. Mamin M.
53. Kotlyarevsky M.
34. Ilyenko A. (A)
74. Prokhorkin N.
97. Gusev N.
23. Pilipenko K.
Line 4
87. Rimashevsky Y.
84. Gulyaev M.
84. Artemyev S.
13. Fiore G.
19. Zinchenko I.
12. Dolzhenkov K.
42. Galimov A.
70. Martynov I.
Substitutes
99. Motorygin M. (G)
1. Mishurov A. (G)
Coaches
. Kozlov V.
. Boucher G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
07:13, 0 - 1, Sharipzyanov D. (G), Lajoie M. (A), McLeod M. (A2)
12:54, Fiore G. (2 min),
18:41, Mamin M. (2 min),
19:19, 0 - 2, McLeod M. (G), Poturalski A. (A), Okulov K. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:00, Kotlyarevsky M. (2 min),
03:41, 0 - 3, Martynov I. (G), Fiore G. (A),
10:46, 1 - 3, Comtois M. (G), Claesson F. (A), Weal J. (A2)
11:43, (2 min),
17:03, Blazhiyevsky A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:11, Kotlyarevsky M. (2 min),
12:15, Blazhiyevsky A. (5 min),
12:15, Zinchenko I. (5 min),
16:51, 1 - 4, McLeod M. (G), Okulov K. (A), Poturalski A. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 3.
Recent form of Dynamo M has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Avangard is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Dynamo M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that Avangard will win today's game, with odds of 2.19.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 63:50. (average 3.2:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:16. (average 3.8:2).
Outrights of KHL for now
Avangard Omsk: 13.3% Dynamo Moscow: 4.32%
Last Results with these Odds
Dynamo Moscow - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 35.16%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Avangard Omsk - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.96%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Podyapolsky V. (G) 
Cecconi J. 
McLeod M. 
Claesson F. 
Martynov I. 
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