The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dynamo Moscow 43.6%
Draw 23%
Spartak Moscow 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
22.5%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
22.1%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
12.5%
75%
Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Dynamo M will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Spartak will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak: 53.8% – 96.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Spartak Moscow will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 3.
Dynamo M is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Spartak has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Spartak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 65:55. (average 3.3:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 3.4:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Dynamo Moscow - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 45.11%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.