Match Info

KHL

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi)


	Sochi		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.79	4.39	1.68	Watch
	4.4	4.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (3.9)	4.57 ↓ (4.72)	1.64 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
20.8%

Draw
20.9%

Dynamo Moscow
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

20.6%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

19.9%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Sochi - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Khomchenko P. (G)	59. Podyapolsky V. (G)
23. Machulin V.	93. Sergeyev A.
11. Volkov A. (A)	45. Pylenkov D.
34. Popov S.	90. Sikura D.
87. Khafizov T. (A)	91. Weal J. (A)
9. Vengryzhanovsky D.	71. Der-Arguchintsev S.
Line 2
51. Sushko I.	92. Ozhiganov I. (C)
22. Hoefenmayer N.	33. Claesson F.
41. Bitten W.	9. Slepyshev A.
24. Bikmullin R.	57. Shvets-Rogovoy A.
78. Polyakov N.	97. Gusev N.
Line 3
88. Nikolayev I.	96. Sharakanov M.
37. Malyshev A.	44. Adamchuk K.
77. Guskov M.	10. Comtois M.
79. Bashkirov D.	84. Artemyev S.
27. Kagarlitsky D.	98. Mamin M.
Line 4
5. Sapozhnikov A.	75. Patalakha M.
25. Dedunov P. (C)	87. Rimashevsky Y.
61. Beaudin J.	34. Ilyenko A. (A)
19. Avershin D.	85. Kudryavtsev P.
Substitutes
72. Maximov R.	99. Motorygin M. (G)
35. Samsonov I. (G)
Coaches
. Mikhailov D.	. Kozlov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:41, 0 - 1, Sharakanov M. (G), Weal J. (A), Sikura D. (A2)
17:34, Sikura D. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
17:17, Polyakov N. (2 min),
18:15, 0 - 2, Comtois M. (G), Pylenkov D. (A), Weal J. (A2)
18:57, Comtois M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:13, Khomchenko P. (2 min),
04:10, 0 - 3, Slepyshev A. (G), Ozhiganov I. (A), Der-Arguchintsev S. (A2)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 4.

Sochi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dynamo M is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dynamo M may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dynamo M has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dynamo M is a strong favorite.

We predict that Sochi will win today's game, with odds of 4.6.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 33:68. (average 1.7:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:38. (average 1.6:3.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Sochi - the odds 3.9 are the expected chance of winning is 24.89%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

Dynamo Moscow - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 54.54%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
05.01.26	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Sochi - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	8:4 ✺
25.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi	4:3 OT ✺
23.12.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWLL
- HC Dynamo Moscow
KHL
05.01.26	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	5:1 ✺
28.12.25	Dinamo Minsk - Dynamo Moscow	5:3 ✺
25.12.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dynamo Moscow	0:2 ✺
23.12.25	Dinamo Minsk - Dynamo Moscow	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
05.01.26	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	2:0
09.09.25	Dynamo Moscow - Sochi	2:3 penalties
19.02.25	Dynamo Moscow - Sochi	3:5
17.01.25	Dynamo Moscow - Sochi	1:3
07.01.25	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	0:2
05.01.25	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	1:5
09.01.24	Dynamo Moscow - Sochi	5:1

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