Match Info

KHL

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: SKA Arena (Saint Petersburg)


	Shanghai Dragons		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.63	4.4	1.89	Watch
	3.4	4.3	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.94)	4.35 ↓ (4.42)	1.88 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Dragons
27.2%

Draw
21.9%

Spartak Moscow
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

21.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

24.7%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Dragons's form might have worsened.

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Dragons than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shanghai Dragons - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Kareyev A. (G)	50. Zagidulin A. (G)
24. Reilly W.	4. Keane J.
27. Somerby D. (A)	94. Mironov A. (C)
15. Shuai Fu (C)	21. Ruzicka A.
14. Sutter R.	95. Rubtsov G. (A)
37. Sucese N.	29. Todd N.
Line 2
74. Bryntsev A.	48. Jaros C.
9. Valentsov V.	3. Ivanov D.
12. Labanc K.	24. Poryadin P. (A)
72. Quinney G.	17. Morozov I.
10. Merkley N.	13. Maltsev M.
Line 3
5. Clendening A.	55. Vishnevsky D.
28. Bischoff J. (A)	62. Orlov D.
17. Rendulic B.	88. Vorobyov I.
29. Kablukov I.	20. Lockhart L.
91. Wagner A.	35. Korostelev N.
Line 4
81. Popugayev N. A.	98. Belyayev A.
96. Burmistrov A.	65. Mansurov D.
11. Kuznetsov V.	16. Pivchulin D.
Substitutes
90. Tikhomirov A. (G)	7. Filimonov M.
	40. Georgiyev A. (G)
Coaches
. Kelly M.	. Zhamnov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
01:01, Poryadin P. (2 min),
11:51, Vishnevsky D. (2 min),
19:53, Labanc K. (2 min),
19:53, Vorobyov I. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:28, 0 - 1, Mansurov D. (G), Vishnevsky D. (A),
04:31, Bischoff J. (2 min),
05:20, 0 - 2, Ruzicka A. (G), Todd N. (A), Keane J. (A2)
08:10, Shuai Fu (5 min),
08:10, Belyayev A. (5 min),
10:53, Jaros C. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:46, Reilly W. (2 min),
03:45, Bryntsev A. (2 min),
04:11, 0 - 3, Poryadin P. (G), Korostelev N. (A), Vishnevsky D. (A2)
17:16, 1 - 3, Labanc K. (G), Merkley N. (A), Kareyev A. (A2)

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - SKA Arena.

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shanghai won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Spartak has had a series of away games.

Spartak will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shanghai won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 2.8:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Shanghai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Spartak Moscow - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 45.09%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Dragons
KHL
17.01.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Shanghai Dragons	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:5 ✺
09.01.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	3:2 ✺
07.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - Amur Khabarovsk	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - Lada Togliatti	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWW
- HC Spartak Moscow
KHL
17.01.26	Spartak Moscow - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	3:5 ✺
11.01.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak Moscow	6:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
24.12.25	Shanghai Dragons - Spartak Moscow	4:3 penalties
22.12.25	Shanghai Dragons - Spartak Moscow	1:3
21.10.25	Spartak Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	7:6 penalties
07.10.25	Spartak Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	3:0
28.09.25	Spartak Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	1:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.25	Spartak Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	2:3

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