Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	EHC Lustenau		Acroni Jesenice

	1	X	2
	4.25	4.6	1.53
	4.2	4.8	1.5
	4.55	5.7	1.51
	4.55	5.7	1.52
	4.33	5.5	1.5
	4.5	4.85	1.5
	4.4	4.9	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.9)	5.15 ↑ (4.6)	1.51 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Lustenau
21%

Draw
17.9%

Acroni Jesenice
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

19.8%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

19%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Acroni Jesenice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acroni Jesenice than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Acroni Jesenice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

EHC Lustenau - Acroni Jesenice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Acroni Jesenice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lustenau have a series of home games.

In this match Acroni Jesenice is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 40-60.

Including matches at home between the teams Lustenau won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
19.11.23	EHC Lustenau - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:5 ✺
17.11.23	EHC Lustenau - Celje	2:4 ✺
04.11.23	EHC Lustenau - KAC II	6:2 ✺
01.11.23	Unterland Cavaliers - EHC Lustenau	6:5 OT ✺
28.10.23	EHC Lustenau - Tigers Bregenzerwald	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW
- Acroni Jesenice
Alps Hockey League
18.11.23	Acroni Jesenice - Fassa	1:2 OT ✺
16.11.23	Gherdëina - Acroni Jesenice	2:5 ✺
04.11.23	Acroni Jesenice - Kitzbühel	0:1 OT ✺
01.11.23	Vipiteno - Acroni Jesenice	6:1 ✺
28.10.23	Acroni Jesenice - Zell am See	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
29.09.23	Acroni Jesenice - EHC Lustenau	6:3
05.01.23	EHC Lustenau - Acroni Jesenice	2:6
21.10.22	Acroni Jesenice - EHC Lustenau	7:1
26.02.22	Acroni Jesenice - EHC Lustenau	5:2
05.02.22	EHC Lustenau - Acroni Jesenice	5:4
11.12.21	Acroni Jesenice - EHC Lustenau	3:2 OT
26.11.21	EHC Lustenau - Acroni Jesenice	7:4

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