Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	EHC Lustenau		Red Bull Salzburg 2

	1	X	2
	2.65	4.6	1.95
	2.76	4.8	2.06
	2.76	4.81	2.06
	2.6	4.5	2
	2.65	4.4	2.04
	2.65	4.4	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.74)	4.59 ↓ (4.7)	2.02 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Lustenau
34.4%

Draw
20.1%

Red Bull Salzburg 2
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

19.9%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

19.4%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Red Bull Salzburg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg 2 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

EHC Lustenau - Red Bull Salzburg 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Salzburg 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 74-71.

Including matches at home between the teams Lustenau won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 44-25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
17.11.23	EHC Lustenau - Celje	2:4 ✺
04.11.23	EHC Lustenau - KAC II	6:2 ✺
01.11.23	Unterland Cavaliers - EHC Lustenau	6:5 OT ✺
28.10.23	EHC Lustenau - Tigers Bregenzerwald	6:4 ✺
26.10.23	Gherdëina - EHC Lustenau	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWW
- HC Red Bull Salzburg 2
Alps Hockey League
14.11.23	Cortina - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:4 ✺
04.11.23	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Vipiteno	2:4 ✺
01.11.23	Merano Junior - Red Bull Salzburg 2	1:8 ✺
28.10.23	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	4:2 ✺
26.10.23	Zell am See - Red Bull Salzburg 2	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
21.10.23	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - EHC Lustenau	4:2
26.11.22	EHC Lustenau - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:4 penalties
08.10.22	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - EHC Lustenau	6:1
18.09.21	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - EHC Lustenau	4:3 OT
14.09.21	EHC Lustenau - Red Bull Salzburg 2	4:2
28.11.20	EHC Lustenau - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:2 OT
30.10.20	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - EHC Lustenau	3:1

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