Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE

Date: 17 November 2023, Friday


	EHC Lustenau		Celje

	1	X	2
	1.42	5	4.75
	1.41	5.35	4.6
	1.46	6.11	4.82
	1.46	6.11	4.82
	1.4	6	4.75
	1.43	5.2	4.9
	1.41	5.2	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	5.57 ↑ (5.32)	4.79 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHC Lustenau
64.3%

Draw
16.5%

Celje
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

17.1%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

16.8%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHC Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

EHC Lustenau - Celje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Lustenau is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lustenau to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lustenau won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 35-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Lustenau won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
04.11.23	EHC Lustenau - KAC II	6:2 ✺
01.11.23	Unterland Cavaliers - EHC Lustenau	6:5 OT ✺
28.10.23	EHC Lustenau - Tigers Bregenzerwald	6:4 ✺
26.10.23	Gherdëina - EHC Lustenau	3:5 ✺
21.10.23	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - EHC Lustenau	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWL
- HK Celje
Alps Hockey League
04.11.23	Celje - Merano Junior	1:4 ✺
01.11.23	Cortina - Celje	5:3 ✺
28.10.23	KAC II - Celje	3:5 ✺
26.10.23	Celje - Steel Wings Linz	4:1 ✺
Slovenian Hokejska Liga
24.10.23	Celje - Acroni Jesenice	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
30.09.23	Celje - EHC Lustenau	4:3
02.01.16	EHC Lustenau - Celje	6:2
21.11.15	Celje - EHC Lustenau	1:5
24.10.15	EHC Lustenau - Celje	3:2
03.01.15	EHC Lustenau - Celje	10:4
04.10.14	Celje - EHC Lustenau	1:3
03.11.13	Celje - EHC Lustenau	2:5

EHC Lustenau - Celje: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide