The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
EV Zug 40.5%
Draw 22.8%
Fribourg-Gottéron 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.9%
21.8%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
23.8%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EV Zug's form might have worsened.
Fribourg-Gottéron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fribourg-Gottéron's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EV Zug, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fribourg-Gottéron than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fribourg-Gottéron, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
EV Zug - Fribourg Gottéron Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Genoni L. (G)
20. Berra R. (G)
32. Bengtsson L.
27. Rathgeb Y.
42. Geisser T.
3. Kapla M.
73. Kunzle M.
88. Rattie T.
88. Senteler S.
32. Wallmark L.
15. Hofmann G.
73. Schmid S.
Line 2
16. Diaz R.
96. Glauser A.
66. Sklenicka D.
77. Streule M.
29. Lilja J.
22. Bertschy C.
43. Kovar J. (C)
21. Borgstrom H.
81. Kubalik D.
17. Biasca A.
Line 3
18. Schlumpf D.
7. Jecker B.
14. Stadler L.
12. Nemeth P.
22. Eggenberger N.
86. Sprunger J. (C)
61. Leuenberger S.
95. De La Rose J.
96. Vozenilek D.
97. Marchon N.
Line 4
37. Riva E.
33. Johnson L.
95. Lindemann C. S.
37. Nicolet K.
77. Wey L.
23. Walser S.
86. Antenen R. N.
39. Reber J.
Substitutes
1. Wolf T. (G)
93. Dorthe J.
1. Galley L. (G)
Coaches
. Groulx B.
. Ronnberg R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
11:39, 0 - 1, Walser S. (G), Glauser A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:50, Schmid S. (2 min),
13:00, Geisser T. (2 min),
15:46, 1 - 1, Senteler S. (G),
18:30, Kovar J. (2 min),
18:57, Kunzle M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
00:01, Berra R. ↓, Galley L. ↑,
00:40, 1 - 2, Borgstrom H. (G),
02:02, Marchon N. (2 min),
11:06, (2 min),
18:48, 1 - 3, Streule M. (G), Bertschy C. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Fribourg-Gottéron is Qualified for National League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 0.
EV Zug has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Fribourg-Gottéron is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 63:59. (average 3.2:3).
Including home matches between the teams, EV Zug won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 3.6:2.3).
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Zug: 8.49% Fribourg: 7.2%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
Fribourg
11
4
2
2
3
38:29
18
12
Zug
6
3
0
1
2
22:14
10
Last Results with these Odds
EV Zug - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.95%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Czech-republic
Finland
Slovakia
Switzerland
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Genoni L. (G) 
Bengtsson L. 
Kapla M. 
Rattie T. 
Sklenicka D. 
Borgstrom H. 
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