Match Info

National League - Round 28

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: OYM Hall (Zug)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	EV Zug		Genève-Servette

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.2	2.6	Watch
				Watch
	2.39	4.15	2.45
	2.35	4.01	2.42
	1.89	4.46	3.14	Watch
	2.48	4.2	2.47	Watch
	2.45	3.85	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.89)	4.15 ↓ (4.46)	2.56 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EV Zug
40.7%

Draw
22.6%

Genève-Servette
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

20.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

22.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EV Zug's form might have worsened.

Genève-Servette has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genève-Servette's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EV Zug, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genève-Servette than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genève-Servette, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

EV Zug - Genève Servette Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Genève-Servette (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Wolf T. (G)	38. Charlin S. (G)
32. Bengtsson L.	46. Saarijarvi V.
14. Stadler L.	21. Berni T.
96. Vozenilek D.	9. Puljujarvi J.
43. Kovar J. (C)	65. Manninen S.
81. Kubalik D.	60. Granlund Mar.
Line 2
94. Balestra N.	44. Rutta J.
42. Geisser T.	14. Chanton G.
73. Kunzle M.	94. Bozon T.
40. Wingerli A.	19. Jooris J.
15. Hofmann G.	16. Vesey J.
Line 3
18. Schlumpf D.	25. Karrer R.
66. Sklenicka D.	90. Le Coultre S.
86. Antenen R. N.	11. Praplan V.
88. Senteler S.	78. Pouliot M.
68. Herzog F.	80. Ignatavicius S.
Line 4
77. Wey L.	77. Sutter D.
61. Leuenberger S.	27. Schneller E.
95. Lindemann C. S.	85. Miranda M.
	23. Verboon M.
	96. Rod N. (C)
Substitutes
60. Birchler M. N. (G)	29. Mayer R. (G)
92. Fueter S.
Coaches
. Liniger M.	. Peltonen V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
03:49, 1 - 0, Geisser T. (G), Antenen R. N. (A),
09:46, Miranda M. (2 min),
14:15, Miranda M. (2 min),
16:07, 2 - 0, Senteler S. (G), Vozenilek D. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:21, Vozenilek D. (2 min),
19:46, 2 - 1, Ignatavicius S. (G), Karrer R. (A), Puljujarvi J. (A2)
20:00, Vozenilek D. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
14:14, Sklenicka D. (2 min),
19:38, 3 - 1, Kubalik D. (G),
19:38, (2 min),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 3.

Recent form of EV Zug has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Genève-Servette is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

EV Zug might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Genève-Servette will win today's game, with odds of 2.89.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 55:49. (average 2.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, EV Zug won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 3.5:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

EV Zug - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.37%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EV Zug
Swiss National League Hockey
25.11.25	EV Zug - Bern	4:2 ✺
22.11.25	Lausanne HC - EV Zug	5:2 ✺
21.11.25	EV Zug - Lugano	2:3 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
18.11.25	Sparta Prague - EV Zug	3:2 ✺
Swiss National League Hockey
16.11.25	Davos - EV Zug	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL
- Genève-Servette HC
Swiss National League Hockey
25.11.25	Fribourg-Gottéron - Genève-Servette	2:5 ✺
22.11.25	Genève-Servette - ZSC Lions	4:1 ✺
21.11.25	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Genève-Servette	2:5 ✺
15.11.25	Ajoie - Genève-Servette	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Genève-Servette - SCL Tigers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
30.10.25	Genève-Servette - EV Zug	0:1
10.10.25	EV Zug - Genève-Servette	1:4
25.02.25	Genève-Servette - EV Zug	3:2
25.01.25	Genève-Servette - EV Zug	1:2 OT
08.01.25	EV Zug - Genève-Servette	7:4
25.10.24	EV Zug - Genève-Servette	5:1
02.03.24	EV Zug - Genève-Servette	3:2 OT

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