Match Info

OHL

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Erie Insurance Arena (Erie, PA)


	Erie Otters		Sudbury Wolves

	1	X	2
	2.2	4.3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.77)	4.3 ↓ (4.6)	2.66 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erie Otters
42.8%

Draw
21.9%

Sudbury Wolves
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

20.3%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

19.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erie Otters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erie Otters's form might have worsened.

Sudbury Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sudbury Wolves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erie Otters, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sudbury Wolves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Erie Otters - Sudbury Wolves Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Erie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sudbury (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Sudbury (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Erie (votes: 1 - 25%). Sudbury (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Burns C. (G)	30. Leonard O. (G)
92. Agrette M.	72. Bennett B.
73. Ambrosio L.	44. Berehowsky D.
84. Challenger T.	93. Blonda L.
27. Coombs R.	91. Chitaroni H.
14. Cooper T.	26. Chovan J.
7. D'Alessio M.	19. Clayton B.
11. Edwards D. (A)	9. Coughlan C.
13. Edwards K.	11. Dean E.
86. Frasca G. (A)	7. Ewles G.
8. Frazer G. (A)	77. Henderson R. (A)
9. Hughes C.	2. Kearns F.
88. Misiak A.	18. Ladds L.
80. Murray J.	13. Martin H.
61. Plante L.	4. O'Dell T.
77. Royston W.	21. Pharand A. (A)
6. Saari J.	97. Provorov V.
10. Trevino T.	89. Villeneuve N. (C)
3. Turner O.	22. Walton K. (A)
29. Willis A.
Substitutes
1. Erliden N. (G)	1. Chartier K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
06:21, 0 - 1, Coughlan C. (G), Villeneuve N. (A),
08:59, 0 - 2, Henderson R. (G), Clayton B. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
06:01, 1 - 2, Edwards D. (G), Frasca G. (A), D'Alessio M. (A2)
12:55, 1 - 3, Walton K. (G), Villeneuve N. (A), Provorov V. (A2)
14:47, 1 - 4, Coughlan C. (G), O'Dell T. (A), Blonda L. (A2)
19:52, 2 - 4, Frasca G. (G), Hughes C. (A), Edwards D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
10:24, 3 - 4, Murray J. (G), Trevino T. (A),
18:37, 3 - 5, Clayton B. (G), Henderson R. (A),
19', 3 - 6, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erie won 3.

In recent matches, Erie has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sudbury has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sudbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Erie is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Erie won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 83:61. (average 4.2:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Erie won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 3.8:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Erie Otters - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 52.69%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erie Otters
OHL
10.10.25	London Knights - Erie Otters	6:1 ✺
05.10.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Erie Otters	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ottawa 67s - Erie Otters	4:1 ✺
02.10.25	Peterborough Petes - Erie Otters	2:3 penalties ✺
27.09.25	Erie Otters - London Knights	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLWW
- Sudbury Wolves
OHL
10.10.25	Brantford Bulldogs - Sudbury Wolves	6:0 ✺
03.10.25	Sudbury Wolves - North Bay Battalion	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Brantford Bulldogs - Sudbury Wolves	7:2 ✺
26.09.25	Sarnia Sting - Sudbury Wolves	6:1 ✺
25.09.25	Windsor Spitfires - Sudbury Wolves	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
08.02.25	Erie Otters - Sudbury Wolves	7:4
06.12.24	Sudbury Wolves - Erie Otters	5:2
19.01.24	Sudbury Wolves - Erie Otters	3:7
10.11.23	Erie Otters - Sudbury Wolves	4:3 OT
25.02.23	Erie Otters - Sudbury Wolves	4:5
17.02.23	Sudbury Wolves - Erie Otters	8:3
13.12.19	Sudbury Wolves - Erie Otters	4:7

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