Match Info

OHL

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Progressive Auto Sales Arena (Sarnia, ON)


	Sarnia Sting		Sudbury Wolves

	1	X	2
	2.13	4.55	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.9)	4.55 ↑ (4.52)	2.63 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarnia Sting
43.9%

Draw
20.5%

Sudbury Wolves
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

20.8%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarnia Sting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarnia Sting's performance.

Sudbury Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sudbury Wolves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Quinlan P. (G)	29. Tremblay J. (G)
6. Aucoin C.	72. Bennett B.
33. Aucoin K.	44. Berehowsky D.
16. Barr J.	93. Blonda L.
61. Bax J.	91. Chitaroni H.
40. Beamish L. (A)	26. Chovan J.
23. Brown R. (A)	19. Clayton B.
81. Edwards B.	9. Coughlan C.
13. Fischer L. (C)	11. Dean E.
10. Hall C.	7. Ewles G.
77. Hurt H. (A)	84. Gonchar A.
19. Karimov R.	77. Henderson R. (A)
93. Lammens B.	13. Martin H.
55. Manza M.	4. O'Dell T.
12. Pickell B.	21. Pharand A. (A)
7. Reese J.	97. Provorov V.
28. Simpson R.	57. Smith B.
14. Van Volsen J.	16. Walker M.
11. Walos E.	5. Wreggitt C.
Substitutes
30. Maillet E. (G)	30. Leonard O. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
01:10, 1 - 0, Bax J. (G),
03:31, 2 - 0, Simpson R. (G), Aucoin C. (A), Barr J. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
06:25, 3 - 0, Beamish L. (G), Manza M. (A), Fischer L. (A2)
07:38, 4 - 0, Brown R. (G), Manza M. (A), Fischer L. (A2)
17:33, 5 - 0, Reese J. (G),
18:24, 5 - 1, Chitaroni H. (G), O'Dell T. (A), Berehowsky D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:10, 6 - 1, Edwards B. (G), Beamish L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 2.

Sudbury is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sarnia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 82:78. (average 4.1:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarnia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:36. (average 4.3:3.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Sarnia Sting - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.35%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarnia Sting
OHL
21.09.25	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Sarnia Sting	5:2 ✺
19.09.25	Sarnia Sting - Windsor Spitfires	1:8 ✺
06.09.25	Sarnia Sting - Barrie Colts	3:5 ✺
05.09.25	Sarnia Sting - North Bay Battalion	2:7 ✺
23.03.25	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Sarnia Sting	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sudbury Wolves
OHL
25.09.25	Windsor Spitfires - Sudbury Wolves	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Niagara IceDogs - Sudbury Wolves	5:1 ✺
19.09.25	Sudbury Wolves - North Bay Battalion	3:4 OT ✺
14.09.25	Sudbury Wolves - Kingston Frontenacs	4:6 ✺
05.09.25	Sudbury Wolves - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	6:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
17.01.25	Sarnia Sting - Sudbury Wolves	6:2
18.10.24	Sudbury Wolves - Sarnia Sting	1:5
01.03.24	Sudbury Wolves - Sarnia Sting	10:3
12.01.24	Sarnia Sting - Sudbury Wolves	3:7
10.02.23	Sudbury Wolves - Sarnia Sting	3:2
28.10.22	Sarnia Sting - Sudbury Wolves	6:2
14.02.20	Sudbury Wolves - Sarnia Sting	5:3

Sarnia Sting - Sudbury Wolves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide