Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 13 December 2022, Tuesday


	Ermak Angarsk		Dinamo St. Petersburg

	1	X	2
	5.2	4.6	1.42
	5.29	4.53	1.45
	5.45	5.05	1.44	Watch
	5.4	4.8	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↓ (5.7)	4.75 ↓ (4.9)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
17.1%

Draw
19.3%

Dinamo St. Petersburg
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

19.1%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

19.2%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Ermak Angarsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ermak will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Dinamo SP will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo SP: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 0.

Ermak has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dinamo St. Petersburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ermak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ermak have a series of home games.

In this match Dinamo St. Petersburg is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ermak won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 16-51.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
11.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - SKA-VMF	3:4 ✺
04.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	0:3 ✺
30.11.22	Ermak Angarsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:6 ✺
28.11.22	Ermak Angarsk - Omskie Krylia	1:2 ✺
24.11.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Ermak Angarsk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HC Dinamo St. Petersburg
VHL
11.12.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2 ✺
08.12.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:2 ✺
06.12.22	Omskie Krylia - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:2 ✺
01.12.22	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 penalties ✺
29.11.22	Dinamo St. Petersburg - AKM	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
03.11.22	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Ermak Angarsk	7:3
20.01.22	Ermak Angarsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:5
02.10.21	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Ermak Angarsk	5:1
29.12.20	Ermak Angarsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	0:5
20.10.20	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Ermak Angarsk	4:1
12.12.19	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Ermak Angarsk	5:0
18.02.19	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Ermak Angarsk	1:0

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