Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday


	Ermak Angarsk		Izhstal

	1	X	2
	2.27	3.7	2.43
	2.3	3.71	2.54
	2.18	4.1	2.68	Watch
	2.35	3.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (3.01)	3.85 ↓ (4.1)	2.54 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
40.2%

Draw
23.7%

Izhstal
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

22.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

22.1%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ermak Angarsk's performance.

Izhstal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Izhstal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ermak Angarsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Izhstal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ermak Angarsk - Izhstal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 3.

Ermak has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Izhstal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ermak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Izhstal have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Ermak won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 52-55.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
23.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3 ✺
21.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:4 ✺
19.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Molot Perm	2:3 ✺
14.10.22	Tambov - Ermak Angarsk	6:3 ✺
12.10.22	Dizel Penza - Ermak Angarsk	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
23.10.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Izhstal	5:4 penalties ✺
19.10.22	Izhstal - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2 penalties ✺
17.10.22	Izhstal - SKA-VMF	1:6 ✺
15.10.22	Izhstal - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 penalties ✺
13.10.22	Izhstal - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
08.08.22	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	1:2
06.08.22	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	4:3
VHL
02.02.22	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	Izhevsk awarded
16.09.21	Ermak Angarsk - Izhstal	2:3 OT
16.12.20	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	2:3
04.11.20	Ermak Angarsk - Izhstal	4:3 OT
01.02.20	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	3:2

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