Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday


	Ermak Angarsk		Toros Neftekamsk

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.1	1.58
	4.27	4.01	1.63
	4.35	4.55	1.6	Watch
	4.2	4.3	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.58)	4.24 ↓ (4.4)	1.61 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
21.6%

Draw
21.5%

Toros Neftekamsk
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

21.3%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

19.8%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Ermak Angarsk - Toros Neftekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 2.

Ermak is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Toros is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Ermak have a series of guest games.

Recently Toros have a series of home games.

In this match Toros is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Ermak won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 38-53.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
19.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Molot Perm	2:3 ✺
14.10.22	Tambov - Ermak Angarsk	6:3 ✺
12.10.22	Dizel Penza - Ermak Angarsk	5:2 ✺
10.10.22	Ryazan - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Khimik - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLLLW
- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
19.10.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:5 ✺
15.10.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	5:2 ✺
13.10.22	Toros Neftekamsk - SKA-VMF	4:3 ✺
11.10.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:3 OT ✺
09.10.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
23.09.21	Ermak Angarsk - Toros Neftekamsk	6:5 OT
12.12.20	Toros Neftekamsk - Ermak Angarsk	3:1
06.11.20	Ermak Angarsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:1
30.01.20	Toros Neftekamsk - Ermak Angarsk	5:2
28.09.19	Ermak Angarsk - Toros Neftekamsk	1:4
19.01.19	Toros Neftekamsk - Ermak Angarsk	2:1
25.10.18	Ermak Angarsk - Toros Neftekamsk	2:5

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