Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday


	Ermak Angarsk		Neftyanik Almetyevsk

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.2	1.57
	4.23	4.1	1.62
	4.25	4.55	1.62	Watch
	4.2	4.4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (3.88)	4.31 ↑ (4.2)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
21.8%

Draw
21.2%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

22.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

21.9%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Ermak Angarsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 1.

Ermak is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Neftyanik Almetyevsk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ermak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ermak have a series of guest games.

Recently Neftyanik Almetyevsk have a series of home games.

In this match Neftyanik Almetyevsk is a favorite.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Ermak won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 49-80.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28-40.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
21.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:4 ✺
19.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Molot Perm	2:3 ✺
14.10.22	Tambov - Ermak Angarsk	6:3 ✺
12.10.22	Dizel Penza - Ermak Angarsk	5:2 ✺
10.10.22	Ryazan - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
19.10.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA-VMF	2:1 ✺
17.10.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:2 ✺
15.10.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	4:6 ✺
13.10.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rubin Tyumen	3:5 ✺
06.10.22	Izhstal - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
04.02.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk	Almetyevsk awarded
19.09.21	Ermak Angarsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3
18.12.20	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk	8:1
02.11.20	Ermak Angarsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:2 penalties
05.02.20	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk	8:0
26.09.19	Ermak Angarsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3
21.01.19	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk	6:0

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