Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday


	Tambov		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	4.3
	1.61	4.32	4.05
	1.52	4.65	4.95	Watch
	1.56	4.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.04)	4.39 ↑ (3.9)	4.45 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
58.7%

Draw
20.8%

Ermak Angarsk
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

24%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

22.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tambov's performance.

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ermak Angarsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tambov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ermak Angarsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Tambov - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tambov will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ermak will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tambov won 2.

Recent matches Tambov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ermak is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Tambov is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tambov to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tambov won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Tambov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Tambov
VHL
12.10.22	Tambov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:4 penalties ✺
07.10.22	SKA-VMF - Tambov	6:2 ✺
05.10.22	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Tambov	3:4 penalties ✺
03.10.22	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Tambov	5:2 ✺
01.10.22	Rubin Tyumen - Tambov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWLL
- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
12.10.22	Dizel Penza - Ermak Angarsk	5:2 ✺
10.10.22	Ryazan - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Khimik - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
02.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT ✺
30.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.12.21	Tambov - Ermak Angarsk	1:2
08.11.21	Ermak Angarsk - Tambov	0:2
07.02.21	Tambov - Ermak Angarsk	6:0
17.09.20	Ermak Angarsk - Tambov	4:2
04.12.19	Ermak Angarsk - Tambov	4:1
29.11.18	Tambov - Ermak Angarsk	1:0
06.09.18	Ermak Angarsk - Tambov	4:5 penalties

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