Match Info

Date: 11 February 2020, Tuesday


	Ermak Angarsk		Saryarka

	1	X	2
	5.75	5	1.38
	6.25	4.6	1.44
	6	4.8	1.38
	5.66	4.79	1.34
	6.58	4.95	1.37
	5.85	5.1	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.02 ↓ (7.1)	4.87 ↑ (4.8)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
15.2%

Draw
18.8%

Saryarka
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

19.4%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

17.2%

76.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Saryarka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saryarka than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saryarka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ermak Angarsk - Saryarka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
05.02.20	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk	8:0 ✺
03.02.20	Molot Perm - Ermak Angarsk	10:5 ✺
01.02.20	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	3:2 ✺
30.01.20	Toros Neftekamsk - Ermak Angarsk	5:2 ✺
22.01.20	Ermak Angarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLLW
- HC Saryarka
VHL
05.02.20	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Saryarka	3:4 penalties ✺
04.02.20	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Saryarka	2:3 penalties ✺
31.01.20	Saryarka - Nomad	3:2 ✺
28.01.20	Saryarka - Molot Perm	0:2 ✺
26.01.20	Saryarka - Izhstal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
07.09.19	Saryarka - Ermak Angarsk	3:2 penalties
15.01.19	Ermak Angarsk - Saryarka	3:1
07.10.18	Saryarka - Ermak Angarsk	4:1
31.01.18	Ermak Angarsk - Saryarka	0:6
23.09.17	Saryarka - Ermak Angarsk	2:3
03.02.17	Saryarka - Ermak Angarsk	3:0
25.09.16	Ermak Angarsk - Saryarka	1:4

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