Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 24 December 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Neftyanik Almetyevsk		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.2	8
	1.28	5.27	7.54
	1.25	6.1	8.9	Watch
	1.27	5.4	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.6)	5.49 ↑ (4.4)	8.26 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
72.3%

Draw
16.6%

Ermak Angarsk
11.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

21.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

20.4%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftyanik Almetyevsk's performance.

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ermak Angarsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftyanik Almetyevsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ermak Angarsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Neftyanik Almetyevsk will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 4.

Recent matches Neftyanik Almetyevsk is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ermak has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ermak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ermak have a series of home games.

In this match Neftyanik Almetyevsk is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Neftyanik Almetyevsk to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 17 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 83-51.

Including matches at home between the teams Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 40-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
22.12.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:4 ✺
19.12.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:0 ✺
17.12.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Omskie Krylia	4:0 ✺
11.12.22	Zvezda Moscow - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:1 OT ✺
09.12.22	AKM - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWL
- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
22.12.22	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	4:2 ✺
17.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Rubin Tyumen	1:4 ✺
15.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:2 OT ✺
13.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - SKA-VMF	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
23.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3
04.02.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk	Almetyevsk awarded
19.09.21	Ermak Angarsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3
18.12.20	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk	8:1
02.11.20	Ermak Angarsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:2 penalties
05.02.20	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk	8:0
26.09.19	Ermak Angarsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk