Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday


	Toros Neftekamsk		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.2	6.8
	1.31	5.12	6.91
	1.32	5.7	7	Watch
	1.31	5.4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.55)	5.36 ↑ (4.5)	7.03 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toros Neftekamsk
69.9%

Draw
17.1%

Ermak Angarsk
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

20.8%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

21.2%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toros Neftekamsk's performance.

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ermak Angarsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toros Neftekamsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ermak Angarsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Toros Neftekamsk - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Toros won 3.

Recent matches Toros is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ermak has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Toros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ermak have a series of home games.

In this match Toros is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Toros to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Toros won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 57-41.

Including matches at home between the teams Toros won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
23.12.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Omskie Krylia	2:1 OT ✺
21.12.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5 OT ✺
15.12.22	AKM - Toros Neftekamsk	3:1 ✺
13.12.22	Zvezda Moscow - Toros Neftekamsk	1:4 ✺
11.12.22	Bars Kazan - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWW
- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
24.12.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk	5:3 ✺
22.12.22	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	4:2 ✺
17.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Rubin Tyumen	1:4 ✺
15.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:2 OT ✺
13.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
21.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:4
23.09.21	Ermak Angarsk - Toros Neftekamsk	6:5 OT
12.12.20	Toros Neftekamsk - Ermak Angarsk	3:1
06.11.20	Ermak Angarsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:1
30.01.20	Toros Neftekamsk - Ermak Angarsk	5:2
28.09.19	Ermak Angarsk - Toros Neftekamsk	1:4
19.01.19	Toros Neftekamsk - Ermak Angarsk	2:1

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