Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 28 December 2022, Wednesday


	Molot Perm		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.2	6.8
	1.28	5.41	7.07
	1.3	5.9	7.3	Watch
	1.31	5.6	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.56)	5.53 ↑ (4.5)	7.14 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molot Perm
70.7%

Draw
16.5%

Ermak Angarsk
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

20.8%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

21%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Molot Perm's performance.

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ermak Angarsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Molot Perm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ermak Angarsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Molot Perm - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Molot won 3.

Molot is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ermak is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ermak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Molot is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Molot to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Molot won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 63-53.

Including matches at home between the teams Molot won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 38-29.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Molot Perm
VHL
26.12.22	Molot Perm - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:3 ✺
23.12.22	Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:4 ✺
21.12.22	Molot Perm - Omskie Krylia	3:2 ✺
15.12.22	Zvezda Moscow - Molot Perm	0:1 ✺
13.12.22	AKM - Molot Perm	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWWW
- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
26.12.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Ermak Angarsk	1:2 ✺
24.12.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk	5:3 ✺
22.12.22	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	4:2 ✺
17.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Rubin Tyumen	1:4 ✺
15.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Molot Perm	2:3
31.01.22	Molot Perm - Ermak Angarsk	Perm awarded
21.09.21	Ermak Angarsk - Molot Perm	3:6
14.12.20	Molot Perm - Ermak Angarsk	1:2
08.11.20	Ermak Angarsk - Molot Perm	3:2
03.02.20	Molot Perm - Ermak Angarsk	10:5
22.09.19	Ermak Angarsk - Molot Perm	5:2

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