Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 22 December 2022, Thursday


	Izhstal		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.4	4.5
	1.47	4.68	4.67
	1.48	4.95	5.05	Watch
	1.52	4.6	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.78)	4.66 ↑ (3.94)	4.71 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izhstal
61.1%

Draw
19.5%

Ermak Angarsk
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

23.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

20.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Izhstal's performance.

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ermak Angarsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Izhstal won 3.

Recent matches Izhstal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ermak has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Izhstal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ermak have a series of home games.

Izhstal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Izhstal to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Izhstal won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 56-52.

Including matches at home between the teams Izhstal won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31-25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
19.12.22	Izhstal - Omskie Krylia	6:3 ✺
17.12.22	Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	5:4 ✺
11.12.22	AKM - Izhstal	4:1 ✺
09.12.22	Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal	3:0 ✺
07.12.22	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWLLW
- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
17.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Rubin Tyumen	1:4 ✺
15.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:2 OT ✺
13.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - SKA-VMF	3:4 ✺
04.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
25.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Izhstal	0:1 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
08.08.22	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	1:2
06.08.22	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	4:3
VHL
02.02.22	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	Izhevsk awarded
16.09.21	Ermak Angarsk - Izhstal	2:3 OT
16.12.20	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	2:3
04.11.20	Ermak Angarsk - Izhstal	4:3 OT

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